Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 65.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.02% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 16.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%) , while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.