League Two

League Two | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
0 - 1
Gillingham

Clark (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rowe (56')
Hutton (67'), McKenzie (86')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Port Vale
Saturday, April 26 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 23.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Gillingham
50.69% ( -0.01)	25.82% ( -0.2)	23.49% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 47.91% (

0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.9% (

0.93)

55.1% (

-0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.65% (

0.76)

76.35% (

-0.76)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.22% (

0.38)

21.78% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.03% (

0.58)

54.97% (

-0.58)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.25% (

0.72)

38.75% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.51% (

0.68)

75.49% (

-0.68)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 50.69%

Gillingham 23.49%

Draw 25.81%

Port Vale	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.69%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 8% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.5% Total : 23.49%