League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • Rob Hunt 37' yellowcard
  • Jaden Williams 87' goal
  • yellowcard Harvey Gilmour 40'
  • yellowcard Dan Moss 80'

Colchester United vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Colchester 2 - 1 Oldham
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Ellis Iandolo

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Rochdale 1 - 2 Crawley
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Ethan Ebanks-Landell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Colchester United 42.2%
Draw 25.97%
Rochdale 31.86% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.79%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.47% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 26.53% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 49.08% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 50.92% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 27.47% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 72.53% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 15.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.8% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Colchester United 28.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 44.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Rochdale 26.58% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Colchester United 48.34% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Rochdale 43.88% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 50.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.23%
Under 8 36.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 9 39.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.81%
Under 9 49.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 28.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 71.4% ▲ (+0.05)

Colchester United Goals

Over 1.5 40.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.86% ▼ (-0.02)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 65.32% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 34.68% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 31.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 68.32% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.29% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Colchester United 42.19%
Draw 25.98%
Rochdale 31.85%
Colchester United
1-0 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 42.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 7.78% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.17%
Other @ 0.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.98%
Rochdale
0-1 @ 8.87%
1-2 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 31.85%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Devante Rodney 36' goal
  • goal Junior Tchamadeu 26'
  • goal Cole Skuse 87'
League Two Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT JobServe Community Stadium
  • goal Devante Rodney 23'
League Two Gameweek 26
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cole Skuse 41' yellowcard
  • Alan Judge 53' goal
  • yellowcard Eoghan O'Connell 65'
  • goal Conor Grant 76'
League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jimmy Keohane 61' goal
  • goal Max Taylor 40' (OG)
  • yellowcard Miles Welch-Hayes 45'
  • yellowcard Charlie Daniels 64'
  • yellowcard Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu 87'
League One
May 8, 2016 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joe Edwards 53' goal
  • goal Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 18'
  • goal Calvin Andrew 69'
League One
Dec 19, 2015 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Ian Henderson 30' goal
  • Donal McDermott 34' goal
  • Olly Lancashire 54' goal
  • goal Chris Porter 21'
  • yellowcard Callum Harriott 56'
  • yellowcard Matthew Briggs 67'