League Two Gameweek 1
Aug 15, 2026 12.30pm
Rodney Parade

Newport County vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 3.00pm
Barrow 1 - 2 Newport

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Harrogate 1 - 1 Rochdale

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 30.48% and a draw has a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Newport County win is 2-1 (6.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.25%).

Result

Newport County 30.48%
Draw 23.35% (+0.04)
Rochdale 46.16% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.6% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.33% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.67% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 56.17% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 43.83% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.8% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 66.2% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 20.34% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 79.66% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Newport County 22.27%
Draw 40.57%
Rochdale 37.16%

Team To Score First

Newport County 37.47%
No Goal 5.93% (+0.01)
Rochdale 56.6% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.63%
Equal 8 11.4%
Under 8 32.97%
Over 9 44.22%
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 44.37%
Over 10.5 33.72%
Under 10.5 66.28%

Newport County Goals

Over 1.5 33.86% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 66.14% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.95% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.05% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.73% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.27% (+0.01)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 76.16% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.84% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 46.79% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 53.21% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 22.08% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 77.92% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 9.04% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.96% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Newport County 30.49%
Draw 23.36%
Rochdale 46.16%
Newport County
2-1 @ 6.85% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.66%
2-0 @ 4.47%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.6% (-0.02)
Total : 30.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.25% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.93% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.36%
Rochdale
0-1 @ 9.09%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.54% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.34% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.01)
Other @ 8.91% (-0.02)
Total : 46.16%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 26
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Devante Rodney 34' goal
  • goal Adam Lewis 46'
League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Rodney Parade
  • goal Jimmy Ball 5'
League Two Gameweek 46
May 7, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Matt Done 16'
  • goal Abraham Odoh 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 22
Dec 18, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jake Beesley 2' goal
  • Joel Coleman 64' yellowcard
  • Jake Beesley 72' goal
  • Conor Grant 74' yellowcard
  • Liam Kelly 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mickey Demetriou 70'
  • yellowcard Cameron Norman 72'
League Two
May 3, 2014 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Aaron O'Connor 41' goal
  • Lee Minshull 82' yellowcard
  • Ryan Jackson 84' redcard
  • Kevin Feely 88' goal
  • goal George Donnelly 28'
  • yellowcard Matthew Lund 65'
  • yellowcard Ian Henderson 90'
League Two
Oct 12, 2013 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Peter Vincenti 5' goal
  • Graham Cummins 38' goal
  • Bastien Hery 72' goal
  • yellowcard Andrew Hughes 30'
  • yellowcard Adam Chapman 43'