/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnewlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Frochlog.png)
-
Kyle Cameron
18'
-
Shaquille Gwengwe
38'
-
Lee Jenkins
86'
-
Yahya Bamba
90'+1'
-
Alfie Merritt
90'+5'
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Tobi Adebayo-Rowling
34'
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Bryant Bilongo
42'
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Luke Hannant
53'
-
Bryant Bilongo
66'
Newport County vs Rochdale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (6.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result
Newport County
30.48%
Draw
23.35%
▲
(+0.04)
Rochdale
46.16%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
55.6%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 1.5
78.33%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
21.67%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
56.17%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
43.83%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
33.8%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
66.2%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
20.34%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 4.5
79.66%
▲
(+0.05)
First Half Winner
Newport County
22.27%
Draw
40.57%
Rochdale
37.16%
Team To Score First
Newport County
37.47%
No Goal
5.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Rochdale
56.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
55.63%
Equal 8
11.4%
Under 8
32.97%
Over 9
44.22%
Equal 9
11.41%
Under 9
44.37%
Over 10.5
33.72%
Under 10.5
66.28%
Newport County Goals
Over 1.5
33.86%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
66.14%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
13.95%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
86.05%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
4.73%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
95.27%
▲
(+0.01)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5
76.16%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
23.84%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
46.79%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
53.21%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 2.5
22.08%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
77.92%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
9.04%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
90.96%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Newport County
30.49%
Draw
23.36%
Rochdale
46.16%
Newport County
2-1
@
6.85%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.66%
2-0 @ 4.47%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 30.49%
1-0 @ 6.66%
2-0 @ 4.47%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 30.49%
Draw
1-1
@
10.25%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.36%
0-0 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.36%
Rochdale
0-1
@
9.09%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-2 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 46.16%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-2 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 46.16%