League Two Gameweek 43
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Rodney Parade

Newport County vs Harrogate Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Notts County 3 - 1 Newport
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Michael Spellman

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
Harrogate 2 - 3 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Tobias Brenan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 35.28% and a draw has a probability of 25.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (8.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.97%).

Result

Newport County 35.28% (+0.01)
Draw 25.98% (-0.06)
Harrogate Town 38.74% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.01% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.44% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.56% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 50.57%
Under 2.5 49.43%
Over 3.5 28.7% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 71.3% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 15.93% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.07% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Newport County 26.97%
Draw 44.66%
Harrogate Town 28.37%

Team To Score First

Newport County 45.03% (+0.03)
No Goal 7.14% (-0.04)
Harrogate Town 47.83% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.1% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.02%
Under 8 25.88% (-0.05)
Over 9 51.38% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.73% (+0.01)
Under 9 36.9% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 39.97% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 60.03% (-0.04)

Newport County Goals

Over 1.5 35.8% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 64.2% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 14.1% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.9% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.48%
Under 3.5 95.52%

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.52%
Under 0.5 28.48%
Over 1.5 38.54% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 61.46% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 15.72% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 84.28% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.41% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.59% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Newport County 35.29%
Draw 25.97%
Harrogate Town 38.74%
Newport County
1-0 @ 8.89%
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.65%
3-1 @ 3.5% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.33% (+0.01)
Total : 35.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.02)
Total : 25.97%
Harrogate Town
0-1 @ 9.53%
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.26% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.26% (+0.02)
Total : 38.74%

Head to Head

League Two
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Rodney Parade
  • Cameron Evans 2' goal
  • Courtney Baker-Richardson 15' goal
  • James Clarke 61' goal
League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • James Daly 11' yellowcard
  • Toby Sims 40' goal
  • yellowcard Courtney Baker-Richardson 82'
League Two Gameweek 30
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT CNG Stadium
  • Josh Falkingham 55' yellowcard
  • George Thomson 78' goal
  • goal Will Evans 31'
  • goal Offrande Zanzala 33'
  • goal Offrande Zanzala 52'
  • goal Seb Palmer-Houlden 70'
League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Rodney Parade
  • Will Evans 58' goal
  • Aaron Wildig 65' yellowcard
  • Ryan Delaney 69' yellowcard
  • goal George Thomson 42'
  • goal Anthony O'Connor 52'
  • yellowcard Kayne Ramsay 74'
  • yellowcard Jeremie Sivi 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 38
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Rodney Parade
  • Omar Bogle 3' goal
  • Omar Bogle 79' goal
  • goal Sam Folarin 5'
  • goal George Thomson 9'
  • goal Luke Armstrong 83'