League Two Gameweek 6
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Dwight Yorke Stadium
  • Alex Newby 16' goal
  • Ollie Banks 24' goal
  • Mark Kitching 69' yellowcard
  • Alex Newby 72' goal
  • Ollie Pearce 82' goal
  • yellowcard Kaelan Majekodunmi 24'
  • redcard Mitch Clark 67'
  • yellowcard Ian Holloway 69'
  • yellowcard Daniel Butterworth 87'

York City vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Crewe 1 - 1 York City
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Alex Newby

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Swindon 3 - 1 Colchester
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.74% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 21.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%) , while for a Swindon Town win it was 1-2 (5.74%).

Result

York City 56.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 21.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Swindon Town 21.64% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 19.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 59.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 40.18%
Over 3.5 36.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 63.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 23.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 76.85% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

York City 47.75%
Draw 33.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Swindon Town 18.88% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

York City 62.01% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 5.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Swindon Town 32.77% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 71.68%
Equal 8 9.27%
Under 8 19.05%
Over 9 61.12%
Equal 9 10.56%
Under 9 28.32%
Over 10.5 50.1%
Under 10.5 49.9%

York City Goals

Over 1.5 56.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 43.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 30.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 69.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 13.91%
Under 3.5 86.09%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 58% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 42% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 26.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 9.29%
Under 2.5 90.71%
Over 3.5 2.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.32% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

York City 56.54%
Draw 21.74%
Swindon Town 21.64%
York City
2-1 @ 9.97% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.82% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 13.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 56.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36%
0-0 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.74%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 21.64%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Nov 10, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Scott Twine 12' goal
  • Steven Alzate 76' goal
  • goal David Ferguson 43'