League Two Gameweek 6
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Dwight Yorke Stadium

York City vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Crewe 0 - 0 York City
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Alex Newby

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Swindon 0 - 0 Colchester
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a York City win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw has a probability of 21.75% and a win for Swindon Town has a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.75%) , while for a Swindon Town win it is 1-2 (5.73%).

Result

York City 56.57% (-0.04)
Draw 21.75% (+0.02)
Swindon Town 21.68% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.69% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 19.31% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 59.78% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 40.18% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 36.82%
Under 3.5 63.18%
Over 4.5 23.17% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 76.83% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

York City 47.75%
Draw 33.38%
Swindon Town 18.87%

Team To Score First

York City 62.03% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.23% (+0.02)
Swindon Town 32.74%

Corners

Over 8 71.68% (-0.03)
Equal 8 9.27% (-0.01)
Under 8 19.05% (+0.04)
Over 9 61.12% (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.56%
Under 9 28.32% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 50.1% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 49.9% (+0.01)

York City Goals

Over 1.5 56.41% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 43.59% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 30.88% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 69.12% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 13.91% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 86.09% (+0.03)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 58.04%
Under 0.5 41.96%
Over 1.5 26.9% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 73.1% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.29%
Under 2.5 90.71%
Over 3.5 2.67% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.33% (+0.02)

Score analysis

York City 56.59%
Draw 21.75%
Swindon Town 21.68%
York City
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.85% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.32% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.19%
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 13.7% (-0.02)
Total : 56.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.75%
2-2 @ 5.36%
0-0 @ 5.23% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.21% (-0.02)
Total : 21.75%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 5.73% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.25% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.82% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.1% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 21.68%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Nov 10, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Scott Twine 12' goal
  • Steven Alzate 76' goal
  • goal David Ferguson 43'