League Two Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Luke Offord 9' goal
  • Lewis Billington 29' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ollie Banks 13'
  • goal Alex Newby 40'
  • yellowcard Morgan Williams 90'

Crewe Alexandra vs York City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Crewe 2 - 2 Walsall
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Josh March

York City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Cheltenham 3 - 2 York City
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Alex Newby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for York City has a probability of 37.39% and a draw has a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest York City win is 0-1 (8.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.27%).

Result

Crewe Alexandra 37.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 24.75% ▲ (+0.02)
York City 37.39% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.18% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 47.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 30.3% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 69.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.7%
Under 4.5 82.3%

First Half Winner

Crewe Alexandra 25.5% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 40% ▲ (+0.04)
York City 34.5% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Crewe Alexandra 39.24% ▼ (-0.15)
No Goal 6.9% ▲ (+0.02)
York City 53.86% ▲ (+0.14)

Corners

Over 8 56.38% ▲ (+0.18)
Equal 8 11.31%
Under 8 32.31% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 9 45% ▲ (+0.18)
Equal 9 11.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 43.62% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 10.5 34.44% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 10.5 65.56% ▼ (-0.15)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 1.5 38.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.89% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 83.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.53% ▲ (+0.02)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 69.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 30.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 37.81% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 62.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 16.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.58% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.42% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Crewe Alexandra 37.87%
Draw 24.75%
York City 37.4%
Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 8.65%
2-1 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.44%
Other @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 37.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 6.9% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.75%
York City
0-1 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 5.69%
1-3 @ 3.59%
0-3 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 37.4%