League Two Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Alexandra Stadium

Crewe Alexandra vs York City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Crewe 2 - 2 Walsall
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Josh March

York City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Cheltenham 3 - 2 York City
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Alex Newby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for York City has a probability of 37.36% and a draw has a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest York City win is 0-1 (8.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.27%).

Result

Crewe Alexandra 37.91% (+0.16)
Draw 24.73% (-0.26)
York City 37.36% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.23% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.84% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 24.16% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 52.45% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 47.55% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 30.31% (+0.47)
Under 3.5 69.69% (-0.47)
Over 4.5 17.7% (+0.42)
Under 4.5 82.3% (-0.41)

First Half Winner

Crewe Alexandra 25.62% (+0.86)
Draw 39.96% (+1.00)
York City 34.42% (-1.86)

Team To Score First

Crewe Alexandra 39.38% (-0.84)
No Goal 6.89% (-0.17)
York City 53.73% (+1.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.2% (+2.43)
Equal 8 11.31% (-0.06)
Under 8 32.48% (-2.39)
Over 9 44.83% (+2.29)
Equal 9 11.37% (+0.15)
Under 9 43.8% (-2.43)
Over 10.5 34.3% (+1.95)
Under 10.5 65.7% (-1.96)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 1.5 38.15% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 61.85% (-0.43)
Over 2.5 16.2% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 83.8% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 5.49% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 94.51% (-0.13)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 69.36% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 30.64% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 37.76% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 62.24% (-0.36)
Over 2.5 16.59% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 83.41% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 6.54% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 93.46% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Crewe Alexandra 37.9%
Draw 24.73%
York City 37.37%
Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.21)
2-1 @ 7.94% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.77% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.39% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.44% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.28% (+0.11)
Total : 37.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.03)
Total : 24.73%
York City
0-1 @ 8.62% (-0.20)
1-2 @ 7.79% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.69% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (+0.05)
Other @ 6.33% (+0.21)
Total : 37.37%