League Two Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT The EV Charger Points Stadium
  • Shaun McWilliams 5' yellowcard
  • Jake Evans 17' goal
  • Jake Evans 65' goal
  • Charlie McCann 86' goal
  • goal Ollie Pearce 12'
  • goal Jovan Malcolm 73'

Cheltenham Town vs York City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 12.30pm
Barnet 2 - 2 Cheltenham
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Charlie McCann

York City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
York City 2 - 1 Exeter
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Alex Newby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 2-1 (6.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Cheltenham Town 27.47% ▼ (-0.43)
Draw 24.47% ▲ (+0.02)
York City 48.03% ▲ (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.16% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.49%
Under 1.5 22.51%
Over 2.5 55.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 67.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 19.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.81% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Cheltenham Town 18.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 36.91% ▼ (-0.20)
York City 44.27% ▲ (+0.22)

Team To Score First

Cheltenham Town 32.12% ▼ (-0.21)
No Goal 6.35%
York City 61.53% ▲ (+0.21)

Corners

Over 8 51.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 37.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 9 40.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 10.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 48.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 30.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 69.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 1.5 30.99% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 1.5 69.01% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 2.5 12.08% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 87.92% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 3.74% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 96.26% ▲ (+0.11)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 77.7% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 0.5 22.3% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 1.5 47.7% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 52.3% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 2.5 23.42% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 76.58% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 9.7% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 90.3% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 27.46%
Draw 24.47%
York City 48.03%
Cheltenham Town
2-1 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 27.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.86% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.35%
2-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.47%
York City
0-1 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 48.03%

Head to Head

League Two
Apr 3, 2015 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dave Winfield 73' goal
  • Stephane Zubar 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Mills 53'
League Two
Nov 1, 2014 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joe Hanks 10' yellowcard
  • John Marquis 19' yellowcard
  • goal Diego de Girolamo 43'
League Two
Feb 8, 2014 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Russell Penn 10' yellowcard
  • John McCombe 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Lucas 33'
  • yellowcard Jason Taylor 42'
  • yellowcard Jermaine McGlashan 54'
  • yellowcard Michael Ihiekwe 81'
League Two
Nov 2, 2013 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Byron Harrison 12' goal
  • Sam Deering 39' yellowcard
  • Matthew Richards 45' goal
  • David Noble 55' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Bowman 20'
  • yellowcard Elliott Whitehouse 41'
  • goal Ryan Bowman 54'
League Two
Jan 12, 2013 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Russell Penn 30' yellowcard
  • Shaun Harrad 67' goal
  • Shaun Harrad 68' yellowcard
  • Marlon Pack 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Potts 16'
  • yellowcard Lanre Oyebanjo 55'
  • goal Jason Walker 84'
League Two
Sep 22, 2012 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jamal Fyfield 82' yellowcard
  • Patrick McLaughlin 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sido Jombarti 51'