League Two
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Ewan Otoo 20' goal
  • Jili Buyabu 78' yellowcard
  • Brandon Cover 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Newby 40'

Rotherham United vs York City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Cheltenham 2 - 1 Rotherham
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Jili Buyabu

York City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
York City 3 - 2 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Alex Newby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (6.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result

Rotherham United 30.52%
Draw 23.73% ▲ (+0.04)
York City 45.75%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.25% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 19.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.06% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Rotherham United 17.7%
Draw 38.38%
York City 43.92%

Team To Score First

Rotherham United 31.48%
No Goal 6.32%
York City 62.2%

Corners

Over 8 46.14%
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 42.6%
Over 9 35.64%
Equal 9 10.5%
Under 9 53.86%
Over 10.5 26.59%
Under 10.5 73.41%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 1.5 32.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.14% ▲ (+0.02)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 75.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 24.82% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 46.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 53.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 22.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.85%
Under 3.5 90.15%

Score analysis

Rotherham United 30.52%
Draw 23.72%
York City 45.76%
Rotherham United
1-0 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.69%
2-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 3.17%
3-0 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 2.16%
Other @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 30.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.32%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 23.72%
York City
0-1 @ 8.85% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.74%
0-2 @ 7.23%
0-3 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 2.25%
Other @ 9.4%
Total : 45.76%

Head to Head

Johnstone's Paint Trophy
Oct 8, 2013 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Danny Parslow 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig Morgan 10'
  • goal Chris Smith 17' (OG)
  • goal Kieran Agard 63'
  • goal Alex Revell 69'
League Two
Feb 26, 2013 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel Nardiello 90' goal
  • yellowcard Lanre Oyebanjo 25'
  • yellowcard Matty Blair 33'
  • yellowcard Michael Ingham 42'
  • goal Matty Blair 63'
  • yellowcard Jack O'Connell 64'
League Two
Oct 6, 2012 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jon Challinor 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Craig Morgan 49'
  • yellowcard Kari Arnason 82'
  • yellowcard Nicky Hunt 90'