Sep 26, 2026 3.00pm

The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium

Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

L
L
D
L
W
W

League Two

L
L
W
W
L
W

Last game

Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm

Salford City 1 - 0 Swindon

Goals scored

8

Top scorer

Aaron Drinan

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

D
D
L
W
D
L

League Two

D
L
W
D
L
L

Last game

Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm

Accrington 0 - 0 Newport

Goals scored

10

Top scorer

Charlie Caton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Accrington Stanley has a probability of 27.48% and a draw has a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win is 1-2 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.82%).

Result

Swindon Town 49.5%

Draw 23.02%

Accrington Stanley 27.48%

Both Teams to Score:

56.32%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.56%

Under 1.5 21.44%

Over 2.5 55.98%

Under 2.5 44.02%

Over 3.5 32.71% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 3.5 67.29% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 4.5 19.26% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 4.5 80.74% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 34.32%

Draw 42.18%

Accrington Stanley 23.5%

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 54.3%

No Goal 5.58% ▲ (+0.01)

Accrington Stanley 40.12% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 68.95%

Equal 8 10.49%

Under 8 20.56%

Over 9 57.14%

Equal 9 11.81%

Under 9 31.05%

Over 10.5 45.1%

Under 10.5 54.9%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 49.21% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 1.5 50.79% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 2.5 23.8% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 2.5 76.2% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 9.46% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 3.5 90.54% ▲ (+0.02)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 63.35% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 0.5 36.65% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 1.5 30.72%

Under 1.5 69.28%

Over 2.5 11.29% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 88.71% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 3.25%

Under 3.5 96.75%

Score analysis

Swindon Town 49.5%

Draw 23.02%

Accrington Stanley 27.48%

Swindon Town

2-1 @ 9.9%

1-0 @ 9.27%

2-0 @ 7.79%

3-1 @ 5.32%

3-0 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.02)

3-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.01)

Total : 49.5%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.82%

0-0 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 5.36%

3-3 @ 1.12%

Other @ 0.14%

Total : 23.02%

Accrington Stanley

1-2 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.01)

0-1 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 2.77%

2-3 @ 2.36%

0-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 3.11%

Total : 27.48%

Head to Head

Apr 18, 2026 12.30pm

2

2

HT : 2 1

FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium

Ollie Palmer 18'
Aaron Drinan 20'
Darren Oldaker 58'
James Scanlon 58'
Billy Bodin 78'
Fletcher Holman 78'
Joel McGregor 78'

Josh Woods 1'
Charlie Brown 26'
Paddy Madden 72'
Luke Butterfield 90'+2'

Oct 18, 2025 3.00pm

4

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Mar 22, 2025 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT County Ground

Harry Smith 21'
Tunmise Sobowale 33'
Connor Ripley 57'

Jake Batty 39'
Kelsey Mooney 57'

Nov 30, 2024 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

ET Wham Stadium

Tyler Walton 17'
Tyler Walton 90'+1'
Seamus Conneely 117'

Gavin Kilkenny 25'
Daniel Butterworth 41'
Grant Hall 45'+2'
Joel Cotterill 70'

Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 2 1

FT Wham Stadium

Sonny Aljofree 16'
Farrend Rawson 30'
Ben Woods 77'
Dara Costelloe 90'

Harry Smith 11'
Daniel Butterworth 36'
Joel McGregor 53'
Paul Glatzel 59'
Ryan Delaney 65'
Daniel Butterworth 69'

Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT County Ground

George McEachran 30'
Aaron Drinan 47'
Frazer Blake-Tracy 59'

Tommy Leigh 14'
Jack Nolan 57'
Alex Henderson 82'
Kelvin Mellor 90'

Form Data

Swindon 0 - 2 Newport

Salford City 1 - 0 Swindon

Swindon 0 - 0 Palace U21s

York City 4 - 0 Swindon

Swindon 3 - 1 Colchester

Swindon 3 - 1 Port Vale

Accrington 3 - 3 Sunderland U21s

Accrington 0 - 0 Newport

Barnet 2 - 1 Accrington

Accrington 3 - 2 Crawley

Accrington 2 - 2 Grimsby Town

Walsall 3 - 2 Accrington