League Two Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Wham Stadium
  • Josh Woods 45'+7' goal
  • Tyler Walton 60' goal
  • Shaun Whalley 70' yellowcard
  • Josh Woods 89' yellowcard
  • Devon Matthews 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Joe Anderson 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Anderson 6' (OG)
  • goal Andy Cook 38'
  • yellowcard Cameron McJannet 76'

Accrington Stanley vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Walsall 3 - 2 Accrington
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Charlie Caton

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Grimsby Town 2 - 2 Fleetwood
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Andy Cook

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.72%. A draw had a probability of 29.31% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%) , while for a Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Accrington Stanley 26.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 29.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Grimsby Town 43.72% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.34% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.59% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 33.41% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 40.17% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 59.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 20.28% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 79.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 10.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 89.58% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Accrington Stanley 22.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 44.32%
Grimsby Town 32.86% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Accrington Stanley 38.52% ▼ (-0.06)
No Goal 10.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Grimsby Town 50.56% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 57.98% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.42%
Under 8 30.6% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 9 46.33% ▼ (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 42.02% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 35.41% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 10.5 64.59% ▲ (+0.08)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 1.5 24.33% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 75.67% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 7.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 92.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.1% ▼ (-0.02)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.69% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 28.31% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 37.18% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 62.82% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 14.49% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 85.51% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.1% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Accrington Stanley 26.96%
Draw 29.32%
Grimsby Town 43.73%
Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 9.46%
2-1 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.57%
3-1 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.58%
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 26.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.29% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.92% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 29.32%
Grimsby Town
0-1 @ 13.04% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 8.55%
1-2 @ 8.39%
0-3 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 43.73%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Tyrell Sellars-Fleming 58' goal
  • Evan Khouri 69' yellowcard
  • Charles Vernam 69' yellowcard
  • Evan Khouri 70' yellowcard
  • Clark Odour 76' yellowcard
  • Clarke Oduor 76' yellowcard
  • Jaze Kabia 83' yellowcard
  • Justin Amaluzor 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paddy Madden 63'
  • yellowcard Freddie Sass 63'
  • yellowcard D. Abimbola 77'
  • yellowcard Charlie Brown 88'
League Two
Aug 23, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Wham Stadium
  • Ben Woods 9' goal
  • Donald Love 35' yellowcard
  • Liam Coyle 44' yellowcard
  • Shaun Whalley 60' goal
  • Ben Woods 82' goal
  • Alex Henderson 90' yellowcard
  • goal Kieran Green 5'
  • goal Evan Khouri 39'
  • yellowcard Evan Khouri 74'
League Two Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
5
2
HT : 4 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Harvey Rodgers 2' goal
  • Jayden Luker 11' goal
  • Justin Obikwu 19' goal
  • Jordan Davies 33' goal
  • Sonny Aljofree 68' goal
  • yellowcard Nelson Khumbeni 31'
  • yellowcard Donald Love 40'
  • goal Alex Henderson 63'
  • goal Josh Woods 79'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hunter 89'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hunter 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Connor O'Brien 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Ben Woods 49' yellowcard
  • Ben Woods 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denver Hume 79'
League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Blundell Park
  • Luke Waterfall 17' yellowcard
  • Luke Waterfall 72' redcard
  • yellowcard Tommy Leigh 51'
  • yellowcard Dan Martin 66'
  • goal Shaun Whalley 74'
  • goal Josh Andrews 82'