League Two Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Wham Stadium

Accrington Stanley vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Barnet 2 - 1 Accrington
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Charlie Caton

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Newport 1 - 1 Fleetwood
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Shaquille Gwengwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 26.21% and a draw has a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Accrington Stanley win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Newport County win is 0-1 (7.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.08%).

Result

Accrington Stanley 48.47% (+5.30)
Draw 25.33% (-1.64)
Newport County 26.21% (-3.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.89% (+0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.84% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 26.16% (-0.86)
Over 2.5 49.07% (+0.86)
Under 2.5 50.93% (-0.86)
Over 3.5 27.42% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 72.58% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 15.06% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.94% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Accrington Stanley 35.7% (+4.71)
Draw 41.91% (-4.53)
Newport County 22.38% (-0.20)

Team To Score First

Accrington Stanley 53.9% (+2.40)
No Goal 7.18% (-0.82)
Newport County 38.92% (-1.58)

Corners

Over 8 60.92% (+4.88)
Equal 8 11.94% (+0.35)
Under 8 27.14% (-5.22)
Over 9 48.38% (+3.99)
Equal 9 12.54% (+0.89)
Under 9 39.08% (-4.88)
Over 10.5 36.43% (+2.79)
Under 10.5 63.57% (-2.79)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 1.5 44.9% (+3.83)
Under 1.5 55.1% (-3.83)
Over 2.5 19.81% (+2.33)
Under 2.5 80.19% (-2.33)
Over 3.5 6.99% (+0.88)
Under 3.5 93.01% (-0.88)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 61.6% (-2.93)
Under 0.5 38.4% (+2.93)
Over 1.5 27.65% (-2.81)
Under 1.5 72.35% (+2.80)
Over 2.5 8.8% (-1.94)
Under 2.5 91.2% (+1.94)
Over 3.5 2.59% (-0.81)
Under 3.5 97.41% (+0.82)

Score analysis

Accrington Stanley 48.47%
Draw 25.33%
Newport County 26.21%
Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.44% (+0.94)
2-1 @ 9.5% (+0.75)
2-0 @ 8.54% (+1.03)
3-1 @ 4.82% (+0.58)
3-0 @ 4.29% (+0.83)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.23)
Other @ 6.96% (+0.96)
Total : 48.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.49)
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.82)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.08)
Total : 25.33%
Newport County
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.97)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.47)
0-2 @ 4.15% (-0.55)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.40)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.35)
Other @ 2.56% (-0.73)
Total : 26.21%

Head to Head

League Two
Jan 27, 2026 7.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Rodney Parade
  • Nathaniel Opoku 35' goal
  • Ben Lloyd 45' yellowcard
  • James Crole 65' yellowcard
  • Tom Davies 80' yellowcard
  • Lee Jenkins 80' yellowcard
  • Tanatswa Nyakuhwa 80' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Henderson 2'
  • goal Isaac Sinclair 51'
  • yellowcard Seamus Conneely 56'
  • yellowcard Freddie Sass 56'
  • yellowcard Luke Butterfield 71'
  • goal Paddy Madden 82'
  • yellowcard Josh Woods 84'
  • goal Isaac Heath 90'+2'
League Two
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 26
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh 4' goal
  • Kelsey Mooney 15' goal
  • Farrend Rawson 23' yellowcard
  • Tyler Walton 26' goal
  • Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh 53' goal
  • Kelsey Mooney 75' goal
  • Benn Ward 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bobby Kamwa 37'
  • yellowcard Michael Spellman 46'
League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Rodney Parade
  • Sebastian Quirk 12' goal
  • James Clarke 29' yellowcard
  • Courtney Baker-Richardson 52' goal
  • Shane McLoughlin 54' yellowcard
  • Aaron Wildig 63' goal
  • goal Shaun Whalley 38'
  • yellowcard Nelson Khumbeni 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 27
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Rodney Parade
  • Bryn Morris 13' goal
  • Matthew Bondswell 45' yellowcard
  • Adam Lewis 90'+6' redcard
  • Matthew Bondswell 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Kyle Jameson 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Henderson 22'
  • goal Tommy Leigh 46'
  • goal Joe Pritchard 67'
League Two Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Jack Nolan 24' goal
  • Lewis Shipley 37' yellowcard
  • Tommy Leigh 39' yellowcard
  • Shaun Whalley 80' goal
  • Korede Adedoyin 90'+4' goal