League Two Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
The Peninsula Stadium

Salford City vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Rotherham 3 - 3 Salford City
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Joe Powell

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
York City 4 - 0 Swindon
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Salford City win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw has a probability of 22.63% and a win for Swindon Town has a probability of 18.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.35%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.47%) , while for a Swindon Town win it is 0-1 (5.38%).

Result

Salford City 58.73% (+6.60)
Draw 22.63% (-1.65)
Swindon Town 18.64% (-4.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.37% (+0.52)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.98% (+2.71)
Under 1.5 22.02% (-2.70)
Over 2.5 55.34% (+3.86)
Under 2.5 44.63% (-3.88)
Over 3.5 32.5% (+3.33)
Under 3.5 67.5% (-3.33)
Over 4.5 19.75% (+3.31)
Under 4.5 80.25% (-3.30)

First Half Winner

Salford City 42.46% (+3.18)
Draw 40.04% (-0.82)
Swindon Town 17.5% (-2.38)

Team To Score First

Salford City 63.65% (+7.72)
No Goal 5.9% (-1.02)
Swindon Town 30.45% (-6.70)

Corners

Over 8 68.31% (+4.16)
Equal 8 10.19% (-0.38)
Under 8 21.5% (-3.79)
Over 9 56.98% (+4.14)
Equal 9 11.33% (+0.02)
Under 9 31.68% (-4.18)
Over 10.5 45.48% (+3.75)
Under 10.5 54.52% (-3.75)

Salford City Goals

Over 1.5 55.81% (+6.84)
Under 1.5 44.19% (-6.84)
Over 2.5 29.31% (+6.20)
Under 2.5 70.69% (-6.21)
Over 3.5 12.4% (+3.76)
Under 3.5 87.6% (-3.77)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 54.99% (-4.30)
Under 0.5 45.01% (+4.30)
Over 1.5 22.63% (-3.16)
Under 1.5 77.37% (+3.17)
Over 2.5 7.17% (-1.32)
Under 2.5 92.83% (+1.32)
Over 3.5 1.88% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 98.12% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Salford City 58.73%
Draw 22.63%
Swindon Town 18.64%
Salford City
1-0 @ 10.74% (-0.28)
2-1 @ 10.35% (+0.42)
2-0 @ 9.71% (+0.65)
3-0 @ 6.55% (+1.42)
3-1 @ 6.16% (+0.67)
3-2 @ 3.11% (+0.21)
Other @ 12.11% (+3.54)
Total : 58.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.82)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-1.02)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.29% (+0.22)
Total : 22.63%
Swindon Town
0-1 @ 5.38% (-1.41)
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.92)
0-2 @ 2.46% (-0.98)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.46)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.26)
Other @ 1.59% (-0.56)
Total : 18.64%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Peninsula Stadium
  • Ryan Graydon 11' goal
  • Ryan Graydon 52' goal
  • Jorge Grant 61' yellowcard
  • Daniel Udoh 61' yellowcard
  • Brandon Cooper 61' yellowcard
  • J. Grant 61' yellowcard
  • Luke Garbutt 68' goal
  • yellowcard Will Wright 29'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Ball 46'
  • yellowcard Aidan Borland 46'
  • yellowcard James Ball 46'
  • goal Ollie Palmer 55'
  • goal Jimmy Ball 60'
  • goal James Ball 60'
  • yellowcard Jake Tabor 77'
  • yellowcard Joe Snowdon 77'
  • yellowcard J. Tabor 77'
League Two Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
  • Joel McGregor 35' goal
  • Michael Olakigbe 59' yellowcard
  • Aidan Borland 64' yellowcard
  • Fletcher Holman 64' yellowcard
  • Billy Kirkman 74' yellowcard
  • Filozofe Mabete 74' yellowcard
  • Aaron Drinan 77' goal
  • goal Oliver Turton 24'
  • goal Kelly N'Mai 31'
  • yellowcard Ben Woodburn 66'
  • goal Kallum Cesay 72'
  • yellowcard Matt Butcher 82'
  • yellowcard Zach Awe 83'
  • yellowcard Rosaire Longelo 90'+5'
League Two
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT County Ground
  • Tom Nichols 7' goal
  • Harry Smith 71' goal
  • goal Hakeeb Adelakun 27'
  • goal Kelly N'Mai 72'
  • yellowcard Haji Mnoga 74'
League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Moor Lane
  • Kelly N'Mai 3' goal
  • Tom Edwards 15' yellowcard
  • Jon Taylor 69' goal
  • Kylian Kouassi 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Kennedy 16'
  • yellowcard George Cox 39'
  • goal Harry Smith 50'
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT County Ground
  • Saidou Khan 24' yellowcard
  • Paul Glatzel 39' yellowcard
  • Udoka Godwin-Malife 53' yellowcard
  • George McEachran 82' goal
  • yellowcard Curtis Tilt 27'
  • goal Callum Hendry 90'+2'