League Two Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Ed Francis 51' yellowcard
  • Ed Francis 60' redcard
  • Charlie Tasker 87' goal
  • yellowcard Conor McManus 9'
  • goal James Brophy 33'
  • goal Omar Beckles 53'
  • goal Lamin Sillah 56'
  • goal James Brophy 68'

Rochdale vs Gillingham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Rochdale 3 - 0 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Ethan Ebanks-Landell

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Chesterfield 1 - 1 Gillingham
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
James Brophy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rochdale win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Gillingham has a probability of 25.09% and a draw has a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Gillingham win is 0-1 (6.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.1%).

Result

Rochdale 50.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 24.45%
Gillingham 25.09% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.11% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.89% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 23.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 54.17% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 45.83% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 3.5 31.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 68.32% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 18.89% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 81.11% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Rochdale 39.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 39.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Gillingham 20.6% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Rochdale 59.03% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 6.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Gillingham 34.35% ▼ (-0.06)

Corners

Over 8 59.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 29.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 47.73% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 40.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 36.89% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 10.5 63.11% ▼ (-0.05)

Rochdale Goals

Over 1.5 49.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 50.73% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 24.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 75.89% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 9.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.13% ▲ (+0.02)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 60.75% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 39.25% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 28.33% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 71.67% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 10.27% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 89.73% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.08% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Rochdale 50.45%
Draw 24.45%
Gillingham 25.09%
Rochdale
1-0 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 9.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 50.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.45%
Gillingham
0-1 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.09%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • goal Oliver Hawkins 23'
  • goal George Lapslie 75'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Scott Kashket 9' goal
  • Max Ehmer 21' yellowcard
  • Will Wright 39' yellowcard
  • Ryan Law 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abraham Odoh 88'
League One Gameweek 25
Jan 23, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Vadaine Oliver 43' goal
  • Vadaine Oliver 63' yellowcard
  • John Akinde 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Matthew Lund 11'
  • goal Jimmy Keohane 69'
  • goal Jimmy Keohane 75'
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 85'
League One Gameweek 19
Dec 19, 2020 1.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Eoghan O'Connell 90'+2' goal
  • Eoghan O'Connell 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Robbie McKenzie 9'
  • goal John Akinde 21'
  • goal Connor Ogilvie 45'+1'
  • goal John Akinde 47'
League One Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2020 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ian Henderson 28' goal
  • Jimmy Ryan 45' yellowcard
  • Stephen Dooley 68' goal
  • goal Jordan Roberts 32'
  • goal Jordan Roberts 59'
  • yellowcard Jordan Roberts 76'
League One Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2019 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Olly Lee 81' yellowcard
  • Connor Ogilvie 86' goal
  • Connor Ogilvie 96' yellowcard
  • Stuart O'Keefe 97' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jimmy Keohane 28'
  • yellowcard Eoghan O'Connell 57'
  • yellowcard Callum Camps 67'
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 69'
  • yellowcard Robert Sanchez 79'
  • yellowcard Jordan Williams 96'
  • redcard Jordan Williams 96'