League Two Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale vs Gillingham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Rochdale 3 - 0 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Ethan Ebanks-Landell

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Chesterfield 1 - 1 Gillingham
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Conor McManus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rochdale win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Gillingham has a probability of 25.1% and a draw has a probability of 24.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Gillingham win is 0-1 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.08%).

Result

Rochdale 50.42% (+0.20)
Draw 24.45%
Gillingham 25.1% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.16% (+1.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.97% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 23.03% (-0.53)
Over 2.5 54.29% (+1.04)
Under 2.5 45.71% (-1.04)
Over 3.5 31.73% (+0.77)
Under 3.5 68.27% (-0.77)
Over 4.5 18.95% (+0.75)
Under 4.5 81.05% (-0.75)

First Half Winner

Rochdale 40% (+0.86)
Draw 39.37% (-1.22)
Gillingham 20.63% (+0.36)

Team To Score First

Rochdale 59% (-1.57)
No Goal 6.59% (-0.18)
Gillingham 34.41% (+1.74)

Corners

Over 8 59.18% (+5.22)
Equal 8 11.18% (+0.26)
Under 8 29.64% (-5.48)
Over 9 47.69% (+4.48)
Equal 9 11.49% (+0.75)
Under 9 40.81% (-5.23)
Over 10.5 36.84% (+3.45)
Under 10.5 63.16% (-3.44)

Rochdale Goals

Over 1.5 49.32% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 50.68% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 24.16% (+0.79)
Under 2.5 75.84% (-0.79)
Over 3.5 9.89% (+0.56)
Under 3.5 90.11% (-0.55)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 60.8% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 39.2% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 28.43% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 71.57% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 10.35% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 89.65% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 2.95% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 97.05% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Rochdale 50.42%
Draw 24.45%
Gillingham 25.11%
Rochdale
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.16)
2-1 @ 9.7% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.40)
3-1 @ 5.09% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.89% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.04% (+0.05)
Other @ 9.67% (+0.51)
Total : 50.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.31% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.05)
Total : 24.45%
Gillingham
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 6.26% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.71% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.73% (+0.03)
Total : 25.11%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • goal Oliver Hawkins 23'
  • goal George Lapslie 75'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Scott Kashket 9' goal
  • Max Ehmer 21' yellowcard
  • Will Wright 39' yellowcard
  • Ryan Law 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abraham Odoh 88'
League One Gameweek 25
Jan 23, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT MEMS Priestfield Stadium
  • Vadaine Oliver 43' goal
  • Vadaine Oliver 63' yellowcard
  • John Akinde 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Matthew Lund 11'
  • goal Jimmy Keohane 69'
  • goal Jimmy Keohane 75'
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 85'
League One Gameweek 19
Dec 19, 2020 1.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Eoghan O'Connell 90'+2' goal
  • Eoghan O'Connell 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Robbie McKenzie 9'
  • goal John Akinde 21'
  • goal Connor Ogilvie 45'+1'
  • goal John Akinde 47'
League One Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2020 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ian Henderson 28' goal
  • Jimmy Ryan 45' yellowcard
  • Stephen Dooley 68' goal
  • goal Jordan Roberts 32'
  • goal Jordan Roberts 59'
  • yellowcard Jordan Roberts 76'
League One Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2019 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Olly Lee 81' yellowcard
  • Connor Ogilvie 86' goal
  • Connor Ogilvie 96' yellowcard
  • Stuart O'Keefe 97' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jimmy Keohane 28'
  • yellowcard Eoghan O'Connell 57'
  • yellowcard Callum Camps 67'
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 69'
  • yellowcard Robert Sanchez 79'
  • yellowcard Jordan Williams 96'
  • redcard Jordan Williams 96'