EFL Trophy Gameweek 3
Nov 10, 2026 7.00pm
Home Park

Plymouth Argyle vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 6, 2026 7.00pm
Newport 2 - 2 Plymouth

Swindon Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 22, 2026 7.00pm
Swindon 0 - 2 Newport

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 57.57%. A win for Swindon Town has a probability of 21.83% and a draw has a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Swindon Town win is 1-2 (5.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.5%).

Result

Plymouth Argyle 57.57% ▲ (+5.75)
Draw 20.59% ▲ (+0.29)
Swindon Town 21.83% ▼ (-6.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.71% ▼ (-3.91)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.45% ▼ (-1.10)
Under 1.5 18.55% ▲ (+1.09)
Over 2.5 60.33% ▼ (-1.61)
Under 2.5 39.67% ▲ (+1.61)
Over 3.5 38.74% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 3.5 61.26% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 4.5 25.65% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 4.5 74.35% ▼ (-0.32)

First Half Winner

Plymouth Argyle 41.83% ▲ (+1.59)
Draw 39.19% ▲ (+2.05)
Swindon Town 18.98% ▼ (-3.65)

Team To Score First

Plymouth Argyle 60.78% ▲ (+2.79)
No Goal 4.68% ▲ (+0.68)
Swindon Town 34.54% ▼ (-3.47)

Corners

Over 8 65.85% ▲ (+0.58)
Equal 8 10.2% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 8 23.95% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 9 54.78% ▲ (+0.57)
Equal 9 11.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 34.15% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 10.5 43.73% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 10.5 56.27% ▼ (-0.45)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 1.5 57.45% ▲ (+3.97)
Under 1.5 42.55% ▼ (-3.97)
Over 2.5 32.71% ▲ (+3.70)
Under 2.5 67.29% ▼ (-3.69)
Over 3.5 15.81% ▲ (+2.66)
Under 3.5 84.19% ▼ (-2.66)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 56.34% ▼ (-6.36)
Under 0.5 43.66% ▲ (+6.36)
Over 1.5 26.77% ▼ (-6.31)
Under 1.5 73.23% ▲ (+6.32)
Over 2.5 9.7% ▼ (-3.62)
Under 2.5 90.3% ▲ (+3.61)
Over 3.5 3.02% ▼ (-1.41)
Under 3.5 96.98% ▲ (+1.42)

Score analysis

Plymouth Argyle 57.58%
Draw 20.6%
Swindon Town 21.83%
Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.75)
2-0 @ 8.64% ▲ (+1.12)
3-0 @ 6.09% ▲ (+1.22)
3-1 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 15.57% ▲ (+2.64)
Total : 57.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.30)
0-0 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.68)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 20.6%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 5.41% ▼ (-1.59)
0-1 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.31)
0-2 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.69)
1-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.86)
2-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.59)
0-3 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.56)
Other @ 2.78% ▼ (-1.44)
Total : 21.83%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 29, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel Kemp 57' goal
  • Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 59' goal
  • Jacob Wakeling 86' goal
  • goal Morgan Whittaker 69'
EFL Trophy
Sep 20, 2022 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 90'+1' goal
  • goal Will Jenkins-Davies 28'
  • goal Oscar Halls 30'
  • goal Ryan Hardie 88'
EFL Trophy
Oct 12, 2021 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kieran Agard 24' goal
  • Ollie Tomlinson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Macaulay Gillesphey 20' (OG)
  • yellowcard Mathieu Baudry 29'
  • goal Jayden Mitchell-Lawson 74'
  • goal Harry McKirdy 84'
League One Gameweek 26
Jan 26, 2021 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Energy Check County Ground
  • goal Panutche Camara 36'
  • goal Ryan Hardie 67'
League One Gameweek 11
Nov 3, 2020 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 2
FT Home Park
  • Luke Jephcott 6' goal
  • Joe Edwards 7' goal
  • Tyrese Fornah 14' yellowcard
  • Luke Jephcott 25' goal
  • Ryan Hardie 76' yellowcard
  • Conor Grant 89' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Payne 4'
  • goal Hallam Hope 10'
  • goal Anthony Grant 23'
  • yellowcard Jonny Smith 38'
  • redcard Jonny Smith 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Matt Smith 62'
League Two Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Dom Telford 22' goal
  • Joe Edwards 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Grant 15'
  • yellowcard Rob Hunt 25'
  • goal Diallang Jaiyesimi 35'
  • yellowcard Jordan Lyden 48'
  • goal Eoin Doyle 77'
  • yellowcard Eoin Doyle 78'
  • yellowcard Jerry Yates 79'