/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnewlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fplylog.png)
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Kieron Evans
3'
-
Yahya Bamba
59'
-
Caleb Watts
39'
-
Aribim Pepple
75'
-
Tyreeq Bakinson
90'
Newport County vs Plymouth Argyle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 53.04%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (5.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result
Newport County
24.71%
▼
(-0.33)
Draw
22.25%
▲
(+0.02)
Plymouth Argyle
53.04%
▲
(+0.32)
Both Teams to Score:
55.83%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 1.5
81.53%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
18.47%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 2.5
60.59%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
39.41%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 3.5
37.87%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
62.13%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
23.52%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
76.48%
▼
(-0.04)
First Half Winner
Newport County
22.5%
▼
(-0.40)
Draw
37.52%
▲
(+0.25)
Plymouth Argyle
39.98%
▲
(+0.14)
Team To Score First
Newport County
36.78%
▼
(-0.18)
No Goal
4.79%
▲
(+0.01)
Plymouth Argyle
58.43%
▲
(+0.18)
Corners
Over 8
67.29%
▼
(-0.26)
Equal 8
9.42%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 8
23.29%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 9
56.95%
▼
(-0.27)
Equal 9
10.33%
Under 9
32.71%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 10.5
46.48%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 10.5
53.52%
▲
(+0.25)
Newport County Goals
Over 1.5
29.68%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 1.5
70.32%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 2.5
12.01%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
87.99%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 3.5
3.55%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
96.45%
▲
(+0.05)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5
81.4%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 0.5
18.6%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 1.5
54.74%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 1.5
45.26%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 2.5
29.47%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 2.5
70.53%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 3.5
13.4%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 3.5
86.6%
▼
(-0.11)
Score analysis
Newport County
24.7%
Draw
22.25%
Plymouth Argyle
53.04%
Newport County
2-1
@
5.87%
▼
(-0.04)
1-0 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 24.7%
1-0 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 24.7%
Draw
1-1
@
9.99%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.25%
2-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.25%
Plymouth Argyle
1-2
@
9.48%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 13.05% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 53.04%
0-1 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 13.05% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 53.04%
