League One Gameweek 8
Sep 26, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Home Park
  • Will Evans 56' yellowcard
  • Ronan Curtis 60' yellowcard
  • Mathias Ross 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Curtis Tilt 23'
  • yellowcard Matthew Dennis 65'
  • goal Jack Armer 70'
  • yellowcard Sulyman Krubally 84'

Plymouth Argyle vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Blackpool 2 - 4 Plymouth
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Aribim Pepple

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 12.30pm
Burton Albion 2 - 2 Mansfield
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Jack Armer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (6.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Plymouth Argyle 51.92%
Draw 23.9%
Burton Albion 24.18% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 55.36%
Under 2.5 44.61%
Over 3.5 33.23%
Under 3.5 66.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 80.09% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Plymouth Argyle 36.69%
Draw 43.23%
Burton Albion 20.08%

Team To Score First

Plymouth Argyle 58.32% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Burton Albion 35.78%

Corners

Over 8 63.8%
Equal 8 11.01%
Under 8 25.19%
Over 9 52.01%
Equal 9 11.79%
Under 9 36.2%
Over 10.5 40.48%
Under 10.5 59.52%

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 1.5 50.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 49.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 25.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 74.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 10.61% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 89.39% ▼ (-0.04)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 60.61% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 39.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 28.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 71.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 9.81%
Under 2.5 90.19%
Over 3.5 2.91%
Under 3.5 97.09%

Score analysis

Plymouth Argyle 51.94%
Draw 23.9%
Burton Albion 24.18%
Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.59%
2-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-0 @ 5.04%
3-2 @ 3.32%
Other @ 10.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 51.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18%
0-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.9%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 24.18%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
  • Brendan Galloway  21' goal
  • Caleb Watts 60' yellowcard
  • Mathias Ross 60' yellowcard
  • Mathias Ross 63' goal
  • Matthew Sorinola 72' yellowcard
  • Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu 73' yellowcard
  • Lorent Tolaj 77' yellowcard
  • Tegan Finn 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard N. Akoto 29'
  • yellowcard Sulyman Krubally 90'
  • yellowcard J. Newall 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Zac Scutt 90'+1'
  • yellowcard J. Taroni 90'+1'
League One
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
  • Niall Ennis 45' goal
League One Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Bobby Kamwa 41' goal
  • Adrian Mariappa 90'+7' goal
  • goal Ryan Hardie 64'
  • goal Bali Mumba 73'
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Powell 84' yellowcard
  • Jacob Maddox 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Houghton 82'
League One Gameweek 12
Oct 9, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Conor Grant 15' goal
  • Ryan Broom 43' goal
  • Dan Scarr 60' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Akins 59'