League One Gameweek 6
Oxford Utd
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Jamie McDonnell 38' yellowcard
  • Siriki Dembélé 76' goal
  • Louie Sibley 90' goal
  • Gatlin O'Donkor 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Lewis 23'

Oxford United vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Oxford Utd 0 - 0 Reading
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Mark Harris

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Burton Albion 2 - 2 Cambridge
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Finn Delap

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Oxford United 43.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 27.24% ▼ (-0.07)
Burton Albion 29.33% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.39% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 27.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 47.29%
Under 2.5 52.71%
Over 3.5 25.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 13.84%
Under 4.5 86.16%

First Half Winner

Oxford United 33.34% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 43.58% ▲ (+0.08)
Burton Albion 23.08% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Oxford United 51.05%
No Goal 8.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Burton Albion 40.76% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 64.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 24.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 52.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 35.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 40.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 59.4% ▲ (+0.02)

Oxford United Goals

Over 1.5 40.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 64.18% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 35.82% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 29.72%
Under 1.5 70.28%
Over 2.5 10%
Under 2.5 90%
Over 3.5 2.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.19% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Oxford United 43.4%
Draw 27.24%
Burton Albion 29.33%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 43.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.29%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.24%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 8.35% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 29.33%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 43
Burton Albion
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
Oxford Utd
  • Joe Powell 50' yellowcard
  • John Brayford 83' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Harris 24'
  • goal Mark Harris 57'
  • goal Josh Murphy 62'
  • goal James Henry 69'
League One Gameweek 22
Oxford Utd
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Ruben Rodrigues 25' goal
  • Ruben Rodrigues 83' goal
  • Marcus McGuane 89' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Gordon 74'
League One Gameweek 29
Burton Albion
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Oxford Utd
  • Simon Eastwood 40' goal
  • Dale Taylor 49' goal
League One Gameweek 7
Oxford Utd
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Cameron Brannagan 48' goal
  • Kyle Joseph 71' goal
  • Stuart Findlay 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Hughes 58'
  • yellowcard John Brayford 60'
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 77'
League One Gameweek 37
Oxford Utd
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 4 1
FT
Burton Albion
  • Sam Baldock 7' goal
  • Gavin Whyte 35' goal
  • Sam Baldock 40' goal
  • Matt Taylor 45' goal
  • yellowcard Christian Saydee 29'
  • goal Adlene Guedioura 45'+2'
League One Gameweek 15
Burton Albion
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Oxford Utd
  • Michael Bostwick 38' yellowcard
  • Lucas Akins 53' yellowcard
  • Charlie Lakin 80' goal
  • Kane Hemmings 86' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Taylor 1'
  • goal Nathan Holland 43'
  • yellowcard Cameron Brannagan 68'
  • goal James Henry 84'

Form Data

Oxford Utd 0 - 0 Reading
Leicester 0 - 4 Oxford Utd
Huddersfield 3 - 1 Oxford Utd
Stevenage 1 - 2 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 2 - 2 MK Dons
Leyton Orient 2 - 0 Oxford Utd
Burton Albion 2 - 2 Cambridge
Burton Albion 4 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Notts County 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Leicester 1 - 2 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 1 - 1 Stevenage
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Blackburn