League One Gameweek 2
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Burton Albion 1 - 1 Stevenage

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 12.30pm
Oxford Utd 2 - 2 MK Dons

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stevenage win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw has a probability of 27.62% and a win for Oxford United has a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win is 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.12%) , while for a Oxford United win it is 0-1 (9.19%).

Result

Stevenage 46.61% (-0.08)
Draw 27.62%
Oxford United 25.77% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.67% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.96% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 33.04% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 40.38%
Under 2.5 59.62%
Over 3.5 19.81% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 80.19% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 9.99% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 90.01% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Stevenage 35.51% (-0.02)
Draw 44.44% (+0.01)
Oxford United 20.05% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Stevenage 54.49% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.86%
Oxford United 35.65% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.81% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.86%
Under 8 30.33% (-0.02)
Over 9 45.7% (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.11%
Under 9 42.19% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 34.42% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 65.58% (-0.02)

Stevenage Goals

Over 1.5 38.54% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.46% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 14.97% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.03% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.64% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.36% (+0.02)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 58.33% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 41.67% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 23.18% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 76.82% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 6.6% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.4% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.6%
Under 3.5 98.4%

Score analysis

Stevenage 46.61%
Draw 27.63%
Oxford United 25.77%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 14% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.01%
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.63% (-0.01)
Total : 46.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.86%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.63%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 6.25% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.29% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 25.77%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 45
Apr 19, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Cameron Brannagan 59' goal
  • yellowcard Terence Vancooten 10'
  • goal Sam Long 32' (OG)
  • yellowcard Nesta Guinness-Walker 71'
  • yellowcard Kane Smith 88'
League One Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Jamie Reid 15' goal
  • Dan Butler 65' yellowcard
  • goal Gregory Leigh 23'
  • yellowcard Elliott Moore 45'+4'
  • goal Gregory Leigh 55'
  • goal Elliott Moore 82'
  • yellowcard James Beadle 90'+5'
EFL Trophy
Oct 5, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dan Agyei 11' goal
  • James Henry 62' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Reid 75'
  • goal Luke Norris 90'
Aug 29, 2017 7.45pm
2
6
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Harry Beautyman 19' goal
  • Tom Conlon 49' yellowcard
  • Alex Samuel 82' goal
  • goal James Henry 30'
  • goal Robert Hall 43'
  • goal Jonathan Obika 50'
  • goal Robert Hall 52'
  • yellowcard Xemi 53'
  • goal Joe Rothwell 55'
  • goal Jack Payne 64'
League Two
Mar 25, 2016 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • John Lundstram 16' redcard
  • Alex MacDonald 46' yellowcard
  • Liam Sercombe 56' goal
  • yellowcard Dean Parrett 28'
  • yellowcard Jamie Jones 45'
  • goal Byron Harrison 69'
  • yellowcard Bradley Pritchard 95'
League Two
Oct 31, 2015 3.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Chris Whelpdale 17' goal
  • Jamie McCombe 27' redcard
  • Michael Tonge 68' redcard
  • goal Ryan Taylor 13'
  • goal Liam Serecombe 27'
  • yellowcard Alexander MacDonald 44'
  • yellowcard Cheyenne Dunkley 45'
  • goal Alex MacDonald 66'
  • goal Ryan Taylor 72'
  • goal Kemar Roofe 75'