League One
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fburlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fstelog.png)
-
J. Armer
74'
-
Oliver Sanderson
90'+1'
Burton Albion vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F08%2Fbowyer-6a746dc24eeb2661005770.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (11.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
Result
Burton Albion
38.07%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
28.93%
Stevenage
33%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
46.93%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
66.46%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
33.54%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 2.5
40.18%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
59.82%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
20.48%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
79.52%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
10.11%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 4.5
89.89%
▲
(+0.07)
First Half Winner
Burton Albion
28.07%
Draw
46.51%
Stevenage
25.42%
Team To Score First
Burton Albion
48.1%
▼
(-0.01)
No Goal
10.39%
▲
(+0.03)
Stevenage
41.51%
▼
(-0.02)
Corners
Over 8
57.63%
Equal 8
11.9%
Under 8
30.47%
Over 9
45.5%
Equal 9
12.13%
Under 9
42.37%
Over 10.5
34.21%
Under 10.5
65.79%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 1.5
32.85%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
67.15%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
11.6%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
88.4%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
3.3%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
96.7%
▲
(+0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5
64.5%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
35.5%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
29.09%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
70.91%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 2.5
9.51%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
90.49%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
2.56%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
97.44%
▲
(+0.04)
Score analysis
Burton Albion
38.07%
Draw
28.93%
Stevenage
33%
Burton Albion
1-0
@
12.14%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 38.07%
2-1 @ 7.92%
2-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 38.07%
Draw
1-1
@
13.35%
0-0 @ 10.39% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 28.93%
0-0 @ 10.39% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 28.93%
Stevenage
0-1
@
11.01%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 33%
1-2 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 33%
Head to Head
League One
Gameweek
36
-
Sulyman Krubally
67'
-
Kain Adom
68'
-
J. Larsson
68'
-
Fábio André Tavares Desidério
81'
-
James Tyrrell Reid
44'
-
Jordan Houghton
80'
-
J. Roberts
80'
-
Beryly Lubala
80'
-
D. Kemp
90'+2'
-
D. Sweeney
90'+2'
League One
-
Jamie Reid
46'
-
Jack Armer
60'
-
Alex Revell
63'
-
Saxon Earley
76'
-
Tyrese Shade
22'
-
Jake Beesley
67'
-
Dylan Willis
68'
League One
Gameweek
26
-
Charlie Webster
45'
-
Terence Vancooten
57'
-
Owen Dodgson
79'
-
Max Crocombe
90'
-
Udoka Godwin-Malife
90'+2'
EFL Trophy
-
Alejandro Bran
2'
-
Dylan Willis
20'
-
Ciaran Gilligan
72'
-
Ben Whitfield
74'
-
Lewis Freestone
6'
-
Tyreece Simpson
54'
-
Carl Piergianni
62'
-
Ken Aboh
78'
-
Harvey White
83'
League One
Gameweek
3
-
Udoka Godwin-Malife
34'
-
Ciaran Gilligan
67'
-
Elliot Watt
90'
-
Daniel Sweeney
7'
-
Jordan Roberts
34'
-
Louis Thompson
34'
-
Tyreece Simpson
50'
-
Kane Smith
83'
League One
Gameweek
44
-
Dan Butler
61'
-
Ben Thompson
75'
-
Kane Hemmings
88'
-
Kane Hemmings
90'+4'
-
Deji Oshilaja
21'
-
Mark Helm
45'+1'
-
Mark Helm
61'
-
Tom Hamer
71'
-
Tom Hamer
76'