Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (10.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.