League One Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge
  • Finn Delap 19' goal
  • Sulyman Krubally 31' yellowcard
  • Curtis Tilt 90' goal
  • yellowcard Dominic Ball 16'
  • goal Gassan Ahadme 43'
  • goal Gassan Ahadme 65'
  • redcard Neil Harris 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Callum Perry 90'+2'

Burton Albion vs Cambridge United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
Burton Albion 4 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Finn Delap

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Bradford 1 - 2 Cambridge
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Gassan Ahadme

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (11.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result

Burton Albion 34.93% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 29.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Cambridge United 35.16% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.25% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.19% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 33.81% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 39.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 60.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 19.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 80.58% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 9.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 90.44% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 25.34% ▼ (-0.29)
Draw 49.12% ▲ (+0.20)
Cambridge United 25.54% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 43.69% ▼ (-0.22)
No Goal 11.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Cambridge United 45.25% ▲ (+0.23)

Corners

Over 8 52.7% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.86%
Under 8 35.44% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 9 41.09% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 47.3% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 30.64% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 69.36% ▼ (-0.08)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 30.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 69.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.14% ▲ (+0.02)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5 66.14% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 33.86% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 1.5 30.53% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 69.47% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 10.22% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 89.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 3% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 34.93%
Draw 29.98%
Cambridge United 35.17%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 11.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 34.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.83%
0-0 @ 11.06% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 29.98%
Cambridge United
0-1 @ 11.47% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 35.17%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 45
Burton Albion
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge
  • JJ McKiernan 27' yellowcard
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 48' goal
  • JJ McKiernan 45'+4' redcard
  • Dylan Willis 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Sullay Kaikai 33'
  • redcard Ryan Loft 45'+3'
  • goal Elias Kachunga 84'
League One Gameweek 14
Cambridge
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abbey Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Liam Bennett 39' yellowcard
  • Jordan Cousins 84' goal
  • Danny Andrew 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Bennett 5'
  • yellowcard Elliot Watt 23'
  • yellowcard Billy Bodin 34'
League One Gameweek 30
Cambridge
Jan 27, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abbey Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Neil Harris 21' yellowcard
  • Michael Morrison 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Danny Andrew 56' yellowcard
  • Lyle Taylor 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jack Lankester 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jasper Moon 20'
  • yellowcard Steve Seddon 64'
  • redcard Steve Seddon 64'
  • yellowcard Deji Oshilaja 69'
  • yellowcard Mustapha Carayol 74'
  • yellowcard Mason Bennett 87'
  • yellowcard Max Crocombe 90'+7'
League One Gameweek 12
Burton Albion
Oct 9, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge
  • Josh Walker 10' goal
  • Deji Oshilaja 31' goal
  • Kwadwo Baah 53' yellowcard
  • Mason Bennett 90' yellowcard
  • goal Fejiri Okenabirhie 67'
League One Gameweek 38
Burton Albion
May 3, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge
  • Mark Helm 28' goal
League One Gameweek 6
Cambridge
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT Abbey Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Sam Smith 34' goal
  • Paul Digby 38' yellowcard
  • Sam Smith 53' goal
  • Sam Smith 69' goal
  • Liam O'Neil 79' goal
  • Jack Lankester 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Gassan Ahadme 1'
  • redcard Jonny Smith 10'
  • yellowcard Tom Hamer 19'
  • yellowcard Gassan Ahadme 27'
  • goal John Brayford 41'
  • yellowcard John Brayford 51'
  • goal Gassan Ahadme 67'
  • yellowcard Cameron Borthwick-Jackson 90'+7'

Form Data

Burton Albion 4 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Notts County 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Leicester 1 - 2 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 1 - 1 Stevenage
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Blackburn
Burton Albion 1 - 0 Derby
Bradford 1 - 2 Cambridge
Cambridge 1 - 2 Huddersfield
Cambridge 0 - 1 Millwall
Bromley 1 - 1 Cambridge
Cambridge 3 - 2 Wigan
Cambridge 2 - 1 Barnet