League One Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Rory Finneran 36' yellowcard
  • Luka Smyth 78' goal
  • Luka Smyth 84' goal
  • goal Finn Delap 22'
  • yellowcard Curtis Tilt 34'
  • yellowcard Jack Armer 51'
  • yellowcard Sulyman Krubally 52'
  • yellowcard George Evans 65'
  • redcard Curtis Tilt 83'

Notts County vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Luton 2 - 2 Notts County
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Luka Smyth

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Leicester 1 - 2 Burton Albion
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
J. Armer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Notts County 39.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 26.18%
Burton Albion 34.45%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.99%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.63%
Under 2.5 49.37%
Over 3.5 29.21%
Under 3.5 70.79%
Over 4.5 16.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.56% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Notts County 31.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 45.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Burton Albion 23.61%

Team To Score First

Notts County 49.83% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 7.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Burton Albion 42.82%

Corners

Over 8 52.29%
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 35.73%
Over 9 40.6%
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 47.71%
Over 10.5 30.12%
Under 10.5 69.88%

Notts County Goals

Over 1.5 39.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 60.93% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 16.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.4%
Under 3.5 94.6%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 68.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 31.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 35.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 64.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 14.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.37% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Notts County 39.41%
Draw 26.18%
Burton Albion 34.46%
Notts County
1-0 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.88%
3-0 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.39%
Total : 39.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.18%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 8.39%
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 2.63%
0-3 @ 2.34%
Other @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 34.46%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Sep 24, 2024 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Alejandro Bran 18' yellowcard
  • Ben Whitfield 87' goal
  • Danilo Orsi 87' yellowcard
  • goal Kellan Gordon 29'
  • yellowcard Kellan Gordon 39'
  • goal Sam Austin 54'
  • yellowcard Madou Cisse 58'
Johnstone's Paint Trophy
Sep 3, 2013 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Callum McGregor 39' goal
League Two
Dec 28, 2009 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Steve Kabba 38' goal
  • Artur Krysiak 52' yellowcard
  • Shaun Harrad 77' yellowcard
  • goal Ricky Ravenhill 13'
  • goal Lee Hughes 45'
  • goal Lee Hughes 48'
  • goal Lee Hughes 53'
  • yellowcard Ricky Ravenhill 55'
  • yellowcard Lee Hughes 72'
League Two
Sep 5, 2009 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ben Davies 28' yellowcard
  • Karl Hawley 54' goal
  • Michael Edwards 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guy Branston 36'
  • yellowcard Michael Simpson 75'