League One Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 12.30pm
Luton 2 - 2 Notts County
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Conor Grant

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Leicester 1 - 2 Burton Albion
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
J. Armer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Notts County win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Burton Albion has a probability of 34.45% and a draw has a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Burton Albion win is 0-1 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.23%).

Result

Notts County 39.37% (+0.01)
Draw 26.18% (+0.02)
Burton Albion 34.45% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

55% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.68% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 25.32% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 50.6% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 49.4% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 29.18%
Under 3.5 70.82%
Over 4.5 16.4% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.6% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Notts County 31.36% (-0.04)
Draw 45.04% (+0.08)
Burton Albion 23.6% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Notts County 49.84% (+0.06)
No Goal 7.35%
Burton Albion 42.81% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 52.46% (+0.24)
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 35.56% (-0.24)
Over 9 40.75% (+0.21)
Equal 9 11.71% (+0.04)
Under 9 47.54% (-0.24)
Over 10.5 30.25% (+0.17)
Under 10.5 69.75% (-0.16)

Notts County Goals

Over 1.5 39.03% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 60.97% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 16.03% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.97% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.39% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.61% (-0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 68.24% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 31.76% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 35.3% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 64.7% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 14.12% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 85.88% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.62% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.38% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Notts County 39.37%
Draw 26.18%
Burton Albion 34.44%
Notts County
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 6.48%
3-1 @ 3.88% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 2.66%
Other @ 5.38% (+0.01)
Total : 39.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.35%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.18%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.61% (-0.01)
Total : 34.44%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Sep 24, 2024 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Alejandro Bran 18' yellowcard
  • Ben Whitfield 87' goal
  • Danilo Orsi 87' yellowcard
  • goal Kellan Gordon 29'
  • yellowcard Kellan Gordon 39'
  • goal Sam Austin 54'
  • yellowcard Madou Cisse 58'
Johnstone's Paint Trophy
Sep 3, 2013 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Callum McGregor 39' goal
League Two
Dec 28, 2009 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Steve Kabba 38' goal
  • Artur Krysiak 52' yellowcard
  • Shaun Harrad 77' yellowcard
  • goal Ricky Ravenhill 13'
  • goal Lee Hughes 45'
  • goal Lee Hughes 48'
  • goal Lee Hughes 53'
  • yellowcard Ricky Ravenhill 55'
  • yellowcard Lee Hughes 72'
League Two
Sep 5, 2009 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ben Davies 28' yellowcard
  • Karl Hawley 54' goal
  • Michael Edwards 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guy Branston 36'
  • yellowcard Michael Simpson 75'