League One Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • George Evans 28' goal
  • Alistair Smith 34' goal
  • Charlie Webster 46' goal
  • Caylan Vickers 76' goal
  • Jack Armer 83' yellowcard
  • goal Jayden Stockley 18'
  • yellowcard Andy Yiadom 72'

Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Notts County 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
J. Armer

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 2.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Wigan
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Myles Hippolyte

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (9.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%).

Result

Burton Albion 43.07% ▲ (+0.47)
Draw 26.78% ▼ (-0.01)
AFC Wimbledon 30.18% ▼ (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.89% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.11% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 29.89% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 44.57% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 55.43% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 23.68% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 76.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 12.38% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 87.62% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 32.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 45.64% ▲ (+0.03)
AFC Wimbledon 22.15% ▲ (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 52.52% ▼ (-0.06)
No Goal 8.58% ▲ (+0.03)
AFC Wimbledon 38.9% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.75% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 8 12.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 31.18% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 9 44.53% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 9 12.22%
Under 9 43.25% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 10.5 33.25% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 10.5 66.75% ▼ (-0.10)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 38.29% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 61.71% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 15.15% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 84.85% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 4.9% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 95.1% ▼ (-0.09)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 63.3% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 0.5 36.7% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 1.5 28.7% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 71.3% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 2.5 9.64% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 90.36% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 3.5 2.72% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 97.28% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 43.06%
Draw 26.79%
AFC Wimbledon 30.18%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 12.1% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 43.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.7% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.79%
AFC Wimbledon
0-1 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 30.18%

Head to Head

League One
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • K. Lofthouse 55' goal
  • D. Williams 74' yellowcard
  • D. Williams 78' yellowcard
  • J. McKiernan 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Junior Nkeng 65'
  • yellowcard James Tilley 65'
  • yellowcard Layton Stewart 74'
  • yellowcard Osman Foyo 74'
  • yellowcard Antwoine Hackford 83'
League One
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 29
Jan 22, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Terry Taylor 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Deji Oshilaja 57' yellowcard
  • Daniel Jebbison 77' goal
  • goal Ollie Palmer 70'
League One Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke McCormick 90' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Hamer 45'+3'
  • goal Kane Hemmings 66'
  • yellowcard Deji Oshilaja 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 35
Mar 9, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
  • Ben Heneghan 49' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Bostwick 59'
League One Gameweek 8
Oct 24, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Ciaran Gilligan 24' yellowcard
  • Lucas Akins 28' yellowcard
  • Kane Hemmings 66' goal
  • goal Ryan Longman 65'