League One Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Notts County 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
J. Armer

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 2.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 Wigan
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Myles Hippolyte

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for AFC Wimbledon has a probability of 30.6% and a draw has a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win is 0-1 (9.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.68%).

Result

Burton Albion 42.61% (-0.18)
Draw 26.79% (-0.09)
AFC Wimbledon 30.6% (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.99% (+0.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.19% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 29.81% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 44.72% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 55.28% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 23.76% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 76.24% (-0.35)
Over 4.5 12.44% (+0.26)
Under 4.5 87.56% (-0.26)

First Half Winner

Burton Albion 32.26% (-0.02)
Draw 45.62% (-0.03)
AFC Wimbledon 22.12% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Burton Albion 52.58% (+0.04)
No Goal 8.55% (-0.11)
AFC Wimbledon 38.87% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 56.64% (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.08%
Under 8 31.28% (-0.01)
Over 9 44.43% (+0.03)
Equal 9 12.22%
Under 9 43.36% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 33.15% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 66.85% (-0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 1.5 38.04% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 61.96% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 14.99% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 85.01% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 4.82% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.18% (-0.03)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 63.64% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 36.36% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 29.12% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 70.88% (-0.44)
Over 2.5 9.91% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 90.09% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 2.82% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 97.18% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 42.61%
Draw 26.79%
AFC Wimbledon 30.59%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 11.98% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 8.73%
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.81% (+0.03)
Total : 42.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 8.55% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.83% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.79%
AFC Wimbledon
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 6.99% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 5.15% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.66% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.86% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.85% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.81% (+0.13)
Total : 30.59%

Head to Head

League One
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • K. Lofthouse 55' goal
  • D. Williams 74' yellowcard
  • D. Williams 78' yellowcard
  • J. McKiernan 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Junior Nkeng 65'
  • yellowcard James Tilley 65'
  • yellowcard Layton Stewart 74'
  • yellowcard Osman Foyo 74'
  • yellowcard Antwoine Hackford 83'
League One
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 29
Jan 22, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Terry Taylor 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Deji Oshilaja 57' yellowcard
  • Daniel Jebbison 77' goal
  • goal Ollie Palmer 70'
League One Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke McCormick 90' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Hamer 45'+3'
  • goal Kane Hemmings 66'
  • yellowcard Deji Oshilaja 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 35
Mar 9, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
  • Ben Heneghan 49' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Bostwick 59'
League One Gameweek 8
Oct 24, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Ciaran Gilligan 24' yellowcard
  • Lucas Akins 28' yellowcard
  • Kane Hemmings 66' goal
  • goal Ryan Longman 65'