Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.55% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 21.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%) , while for a AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.