League One Gameweek 2
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Huddersfield 3 - 0 AFC Wimbledon

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 12.30pm
Reading 3 - 4 Luton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Reading win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for AFC Wimbledon has a probability of 33.57% and a draw has a probability of 26.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win is 1-0 (9.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.47%).

Result

AFC Wimbledon 33.57% (-0.01)
Draw 26.15% (-0.04)
Reading 40.28% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.75%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.22% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.78% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.98% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 53.02% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 25.05% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.95% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.28% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.72% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

AFC Wimbledon 22.42% (+0.10)
Draw 44.7% (-0.08)
Reading 32.88% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

AFC Wimbledon 41.62% (+0.06)
No Goal 7.87% (-0.02)
Reading 50.51% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 59.26% (-0.24)
Equal 8 11.89%
Under 8 28.85% (+0.25)
Over 9 46.98% (-0.21)
Equal 9 12.28% (-0.05)
Under 9 40.74% (+0.24)
Over 10.5 35.42% (-0.15)
Under 10.5 64.58% (+0.15)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 1.5 32.07% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 67.93% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 11.89% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.11% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.37% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.63% (+0.01)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 71.19% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.81% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 37.69% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.31% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.83% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.17% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.95% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.05% (-0.02)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 33.56%
Draw 26.13%
Reading 40.29%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 33.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.87% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 26.13%
Reading
0-1 @ 10.45% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.65%
0-2 @ 7.2% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.71%
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16%
Other @ 4.9% (+0.04)
Total : 40.29%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Marcus Browne 8' goal
  • Marcus Browne 53' goal
  • Marcus Browne 71' goal
  • Zack Nelson 77' yellowcard
  • Antwoine Hackford 88' yellowcard
  • Mathew Stevens 88' yellowcard
  • Patrick Bauer 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Ritchie 30'
  • goal Jack Marriott 33'
  • goal Jeriel Dorsett 65'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan 66'
  • yellowcard Liam Fraser 66'
  • yellowcard Andy Yiadom 84'
EFL Cup
Aug 26, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Yakou Meite 34'
  • goal Jeff Hendrick 75'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 7, 2018 12.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kwesi Appiah 36' goal
  • Joe Pigott 42' goal
  • Egli Kaja 74' goal
  • Kane Crichlow 84' goal
  • goal Adrian Popa 51'
  • goal Sam Smith 56'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 23, 2016 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Dean Parrett 1' goal
  • Dominic Poleon 19' goal