League One

League One | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
1 - 2
Birmingham

Lavery (36')
Kachunga (34'), Watts (77'), Stokes (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Klarer (25'), Watts (82' og.)
Gardner-Hickman (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Blackpool 0-2 Birmingham
Wednesday, April 30 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Birmingham City
15.83% ( 1.66)	20.32% ( 0.74)	63.85% ( -2.41)

Both teams to score 52.35% (

1.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.16% (

0.08)

42.84% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.76% (

0.08)

65.24% (

-0.08)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.99% (

2.32)

40.01% (

-2.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.34% (

2.06)

76.66% (

-2.06)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.26% (

-0.65)

12.73% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.02% (

-1.36)

38.98% (

1.37)

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 15.83%

Birmingham City 63.83%

Draw 20.32%

Cambridge United	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.2) Other @ 1.89% Total : 15.83%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.32) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.32%	0-2 @ 10.81% ( -0.61) 0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 7.43% ( -0.61) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 3.83% ( -0.42) 1-4 @ 3.51% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.58% ( -0.22) 1-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.29% Total : 63.83%