League One Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT King Power Stadium
  • Emil Riis 49' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Harris 8'
  • yellowcard Kai Andrews 34'
  • goal Mo Missanga 57'
  • goal Mark Harris 60'
  • goal Jamie McDonnell 77'

Leicester City vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Leicester 2 - 0 Plymouth
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Jayden Joseph

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Huddersfield 3 - 1 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Mark Harris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 48.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.68% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%) , while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.35%).

Result

Leicester City 48.8% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 25.68% ▼ (-0.06)
Oxford United 25.52% ▼ (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.16% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 50.3% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 49.7% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 27.81% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 72.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 15.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.52% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Leicester City 38.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 40.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Oxford United 20.62% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Leicester City 58.88% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 7.47%
Oxford United 33.65% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 73.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 9.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 17.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 62.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 10.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 26.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 50.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 49.36% ▼ (-0.03)

Leicester City Goals

Over 1.5 46.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 53.92% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 20.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 79.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.54%
Under 3.5 92.46%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 61.24% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 38.76% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 27.35% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 72.65% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 9.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 90.89% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.58% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Leicester City 48.79%
Draw 25.68%
Oxford United 25.53%
Leicester City
1-0 @ 10.87% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 48.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.47%
2-2 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.68%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 7.35%
1-2 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.53%

Head to Head

Championship
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT King Power Stadium
  • Luke Thomas 46' yellowcard
  • Patson Daka 68' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Monga 68' yellowcard
  • Silko Thomas 83' yellowcard
  • Issahaku Fatawu 84' goal
  • Boubakary Soumaré 90' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Long 4'
  • yellowcard Greg Leigh 67'
  • yellowcard Brian De Keersmaecker 68'
  • goal Mark Harris 71'
  • yellowcard Matt Phillips 75'
  • yellowcard Will Vaulks 87'
  • yellowcard Will Lankshear 88'
Championship
Sep 13, 2025 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 19, 2016 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Chris Maguire 14' goal
  • goal Demarai Gray 28'
  • goal Jeffrey Schlupp 69'