League One
Aug 29, 2026 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • yellowcard Luke Thomas 48'
  • yellowcard Harry Souttar 80'
  • yellowcard Liam Cullen 90'+2'

MK Dons vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
MK Dons 1 - 1 Huddersfield
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
A. Collins

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Leicester 1 - 2 Burton Albion
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Jayden Joseph

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.57% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%) , while for a Leicester City win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

MK Dons 48.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 26.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Leicester City 24.54% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.84% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 31.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 43.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 56.38%
Over 3.5 23.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 76.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.04%
Under 4.5 86.96%

First Half Winner

MK Dons 34.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 42.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Leicester City 22.6%

Team To Score First

MK Dons 51.6%
No Goal 9.82%
Leicester City 38.58%

Corners

Over 8 58.92%
Equal 8 11.94%
Under 8 29.14%
Over 9 46.61%
Equal 9 12.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 41.08%
Over 10.5 35.05%
Under 10.5 64.95% ▼ (-0.01)

MK Dons Goals

Over 1.5 42% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 58% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 17.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.8% ▼ (-0.02)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 56.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 43.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 23.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 76.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 8.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.26%
Under 3.5 97.74%

Score analysis

MK Dons 48.89%
Draw 26.58%
Leicester City 24.53%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 13.7%
2-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 8.87%
3-0 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 2.17%
Other @ 6.15%
Total : 48.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.58%
Leicester City
0-1 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.53%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadium mk
  • goal Youri Tielemans 18'
  • goal Ayoze Perez 29'
  • goal Jamie Vardy 50'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 28, 2017 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 4, 2014 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal David Nugent 24'
  • goal James Pearson 68'
League One
Feb 28, 2009 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Peter Leven 36' goal
  • Peter Leven 63' goal
  • goal Matty Fryatt 5'
  • yellowcard Steve Howard 65'
League One
Aug 9, 2008 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matty Fryatt 24' goal
  • Matty Fryatt 83' goal
  • yellowcard Sean O'Hanlon 23'
Premier League
Mar 11, 2000 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Neal Ardley 33' goal
  • Carl Cort 87' goal
  • goal Gerry Taggart 55'