League One Gameweek 3
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
The Kassam Stadium

Oxford United vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Leicester 0 - 4 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Gatlin O'Donkor

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Reading 3 - 1 Blackpool
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Jack Marriott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Oxford United 38.03%
Draw 28.22%
Reading 33.75%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.09%

Goals

Over 1.5 67.74%
Under 1.5 32.26%
Over 2.5 41.71%
Under 2.5 58.29%
Over 3.5 21.35%
Under 3.5 78.65%
Over 4.5 10.99%
Under 4.5 89.01%

First Half Winner

Oxford United 27%
Draw 42.67%
Reading 30.33%

Team To Score First

Oxford United 42.07%
No Goal 10.06%
Reading 47.87%

Corners

Over 8 60.91%
Equal 8 10.82%
Under 8 28.28%
Over 9 49.62%
Equal 9 11.29%
Under 9 39.09%
Over 10.5 38.77%
Under 10.5 61.23%

Oxford United Goals

Over 1.5 33.1%
Under 1.5 66.9%
Over 2.5 11.92%
Under 2.5 88.08%
Over 3.5 3.37%
Under 3.5 96.63%

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 64.89%
Under 0.5 35.11%
Over 1.5 30.44%
Under 1.5 69.56%
Over 2.5 10.85%
Under 2.5 89.15%
Over 3.5 3.18%
Under 3.5 96.82%

Score analysis

Oxford United 38.02%
Draw 28.24%
Reading 33.75%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-1 @ 7.95%
2-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 38.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.24%
Reading
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 6%
1-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 33.75%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Mark Harris 32' goal
  • Tyler Goodrham 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Craig 24'
  • yellowcard Andy Yiadom 63'
  • yellowcard Femi Azeez 71'
  • goal Ciaron Brown 76' (OG)
League One Gameweek 13
Dec 12, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Michael Craig 19' yellowcard
  • Sam Smith 43' goal
  • Tom Holmes 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Thorniley 37'
  • goal Ciaron Brown 39'