League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 24, 2026 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Kofi Balmer 37' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kaelan Majekodunmi 76'
  • yellowcard Dan Butler 90'+3'

Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers 1 - 2 Salford City
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Fabrizio Cavegn

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
Barnet 1 - 3 Swindon
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 55.47%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 22.53% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Bristol Rovers 55.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 22%
Swindon Town 22.53% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.62% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.26% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 18.74% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 60.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 39.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 37.79% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 62.21% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 23.86% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 76.14% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Bristol Rovers 42.39% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 39.33% ▲ (+0.08)
Swindon Town 18.28% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Bristol Rovers 63.1% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 4.67%
Swindon Town 32.23% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 70.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 9.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 20.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 59.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.68%
Under 9 29.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 48.4% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 51.6% ▲ (+0.04)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 56% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 44% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 30% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 70% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 13.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 86.92% ▲ (+0.02)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 59.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 28.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 71.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.27% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.6% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bristol Rovers 55.48%
Draw 22%
Swindon Town 22.54%
Bristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.29%
3-1 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 12.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 55.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.67%
3-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.54%

Head to Head

League Two
Feb 28, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
  • Ollie Palmer 58' goal
  • Billy Kirkman 69' yellowcard
  • Michael Olakigbe 69' yellowcard
  • Fletcher Holman 69' yellowcard
  • Billy Bodin 89' yellowcard
  • goal Kane Thompson-Sommers 43'
  • yellowcard Fabrizio Cavegn 67'
  • yellowcard Luke Thomas 90'+3'
League Two
Dec 13, 2025 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Shaq Forde 27' yellowcard
  • Kacper Lopata 36' redcard
  • goal Joe Snowdon 16'
  • goal Ollie Clarke 28'
  • goal Aaron Drinan 33'
  • yellowcard Aaron Drinan 34'
  • yellowcard Aaron Drinan 58'
EFL Trophy
Oct 8, 2024 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT County Ground
  • Paul Glatzel 2' goal
  • Paul Glatzel 12' goal
  • Joel McGregor 30' goal
  • Botan Ameen 35' goal
  • yellowcard Isaac Hutchinson 28'
  • yellowcard Luke McCormick 59'
EFL Trophy
Oct 18, 2022 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Ryan Loft 63' goal
  • Harry Anderson 76' goal
  • Luke McCormick 83' goal
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2022 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Tyreece Simpson 16' goal
  • Ellis Iandolo 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Connor Taylor 25'
  • yellowcard Sam Finley 32'
  • goal Sam Finley 35'
  • yellowcard Ryan Loft 40'
  • yellowcard Paul Coutts 74'
  • yellowcard Joshua Grant 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Luca Hoole 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 10
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Harry Anderson 17' goal
  • Alfie Kilgour 79' yellowcard
  • Alfie Kilgour 84' redcard
  • Cian Harries 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Payne 57'
  • goal Ben Gladwin 85'
  • goal Harry McKirdy 87'