League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
The Hive Stadium

Barnet vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Tranmere 1 - 2 Barnet
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Kabongo Tshimanga

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Swindon 1 - 1 Walsall
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barnet win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw has a probability of 20.1% and a win for Swindon Town has a probability of 14.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.55%) , while for a Swindon Town win it is 0-1 (4.4%).

Result

Barnet 65.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 20.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Swindon Town 14.87% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.1% ▲ (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 79% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 1.5 21% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 57.27% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 42.73% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 3.5 34.17% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 65.83% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 4.5 22.25% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 4.5 77.75% ▼ (-0.36)

First Half Winner

Barnet 49.26% ▼ (-0.29)
Draw 36.45% ▲ (+0.66)
Swindon Town 14.29% ▼ (-0.37)

Team To Score First

Barnet 67.02% ▲ (+0.51)
No Goal 5.41% ▲ (+0.11)
Swindon Town 27.57% ▼ (-0.61)

Corners

Over 8 76% ▼ (-1.43)
Equal 8 8.63% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 8 15.37% ▲ (+0.91)
Over 9 65.69% ▼ (-1.94)
Equal 9 10.31% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 9 24% ▲ (+1.43)
Over 10.5 54.48% ▼ (-2.37)
Under 10.5 45.52% ▲ (+2.37)

Barnet Goals

Over 1.5 60.24% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 39.76% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 34.42% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 65.58% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 15.96% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 3.5 84.04% ▼ (-0.26)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 49.31% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 50.69% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 18.76% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 81.24% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 5.08% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 94.92% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 1.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.83% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Barnet 65.06%
Draw 20.11%
Swindon Town 14.86%
Barnet
1-0 @ 11.22% ▲ (+0.14)
2-0 @ 10.21% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.13% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8.02% ▼ (-0.27)
3-1 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 15.86% ▲ (+0.25)
Total : 65.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.11%
Swindon Town
0-1 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.14)
1-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 14.86%

Head to Head

League Two
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT The Hive Stadium
  • Adam Senior 9' goal
  • Oliver Hawkins 64' yellowcard
  • Oli Hawkins 64' yellowcard
  • Ben Winterburn 69' yellowcard
  • Jack Howland 69' yellowcard
  • Britt Assombalonga 81' yellowcard
  • Kane Smith 81' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Clarke 50'
  • yellowcard Michael Olakigbe 55'
  • goal Ollie Clarke 63'
  • yellowcard Tom Nichols 68'
  • yellowcard Ollie Palmer 68'
  • yellowcard Billy Kirkman 87'
  • yellowcard Filozofe Mabete 87'
League Two
Aug 19, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two
Jan 1, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • John Akinde 20' goal
  • Michael Nelson 45' yellowcard
  • David Tutonda 84' yellowcard
  • Jamal Campbell-Ryce 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ellis Iandolo 17'
  • goal Matt Preston 45'
  • yellowcard Kellan Gordon 77'
League Two
Sep 2, 2017 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Luke Norris 12' yellowcard
  • Donal McDermott 50' redcard
  • Luke Norris 78' goal
  • goal Shaquile Coulthirst 10'
  • goal Jamal Campbell-Ryce 16'
  • goal Shaquile Coulthirst 65'
  • goal Shaquile Coulthirst 69'
  • redcard Andre Blackman 80'
League Two
Apr 3, 2012 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jordan Mustoe 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Smith 1'
  • goal Oliver Risser 31'
League Two
Sep 24, 2011 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Raffaele De Vita 11' goal
  • yellowcard Darren Dennehy 35'
  • yellowcard Clovis Kamdjo 60'
  • yellowcard Tommy Fraser 89'
  • yellowcard Daniel Leach 90'