League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium

Swindon Town vs Walsall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 12.30pm
Swindon 0 - 1 Crewe
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Walsall

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Fleetwood 1 - 1 Walsall
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Aaron Pressley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Walsall win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Swindon Town has a probability of 35.94% and a draw has a probability of 26.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Swindon Town win is 1-0 (10.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.95%).

Result

Swindon Town 35.94% ▼ (-2.24)
Draw 26.82% ▲ (+0.18)
Walsall 37.27% ▲ (+2.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.16% ▼ (-1.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.17% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 1.5 27.83% ▲ (+0.84)
Over 2.5 46.83% ▼ (-1.46)
Under 2.5 53.17% ▲ (+1.46)
Over 3.5 24.99% ▼ (-1.05)
Under 3.5 75.01% ▲ (+1.05)
Over 4.5 13.08% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 4.5 86.92% ▲ (+0.86)

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 27.41% ▼ (-3.11)
Draw 44.76% ▲ (+1.23)
Walsall 27.83% ▲ (+1.87)

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 45.01% ▼ (-3.61)
No Goal 7.87% ▲ (+0.25)
Walsall 47.12% ▲ (+3.36)

Corners

Over 8 67.82% ▼ (-4.60)
Equal 8 10.41% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 8 21.77% ▲ (+3.97)
Over 9 56.27% ▼ (-4.77)
Equal 9 11.55% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 9 32.18% ▲ (+4.59)
Over 10.5 44.6% ▼ (-4.48)
Under 10.5 55.4% ▲ (+4.48)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 34.2% ▼ (-2.20)
Under 1.5 65.8% ▲ (+2.20)
Over 2.5 12.61% ▼ (-1.80)
Under 2.5 87.39% ▲ (+1.80)
Over 3.5 3.76% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 3.5 96.24% ▲ (+0.62)

Walsall Goals

Over 0.5 69.76% ▲ (+1.11)
Under 0.5 30.24% ▼ (-1.12)
Over 1.5 35.5% ▲ (+0.97)
Under 1.5 64.5% ▼ (-0.96)
Over 2.5 13.36% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 86.64% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.95% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 35.95%
Draw 26.82%
Walsall 37.28%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 10.07% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.36)
2-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.31)
3-0 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.48)
3-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.28)
Other @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.59)
Total : 35.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.95% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 26.82%
Walsall
0-1 @ 9.94% ▲ (+0.75)
1-2 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.45)
0-2 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.67)
1-3 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 37.28%

Head to Head

League Two
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
  • Michael Olakigbe 65' yellowcard
  • Ollie Palmer 65' yellowcard
  • Fletcher Holman 66' yellowcard
  • Ollie Clarke 74' yellowcard
  • Ollie Clarke 75' yellowcard
  • Fletcher Holman 81' goal
  • Tom Nichols 85' yellowcard
  • Aaron Drinan 90' goal
  • Aaron Drinan 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jamie Jellis 63'
  • goal Jamie Jellis 66'
  • yellowcard Aaron Pressley 69'
  • yellowcard V. Harper 79'
League Two Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 34
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Poundland Bescot Stadium
  • Ellis Harrison 28' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ollie Clarke 22'
  • yellowcard Ollie Clarke 22'
  • yellowcard Ollie Clarke 22'
  • goal Joel Cotterill 59'
  • goal Joel Cotterill 59'
  • yellowcard Tom Nichols 64'
  • yellowcard Tom Nichols 64'
  • yellowcard Nnamdi Ofoborh 66'
  • yellowcard Nnamdi Ofoborh 66'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT County Ground
  • Harry Smith 37' yellowcard
  • Ollie Clarke 48' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Gordon 33'
  • goal Jamille Matt 41'
  • goal Taylor Allen 49'
  • goal Albert Adomah 64'
League Two Gameweek 40
Apr 16, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Poundland Bescot Stadium
  • Mo Faal 11' goal
  • Ryan Stirk 87' yellowcard
  • Danny Johnson 89' goal
  • goal Paul Glatzel 68'
League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT County Ground
  • Charlie Austin 2' goal
  • Saidou Khan 36' yellowcard
  • Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 88' goal
  • Remeao Hutton 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isaac Hutchinson 25'
  • yellowcard Tom Knowles 62'
  • redcard Tom Knowles 66'
  • yellowcard Liam Gordon 90'+4'