League Two Gameweek 10
Oct 10, 2026 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
  • Ollie Clarke 14' yellowcard
  • Connor Ripley 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Gibson 60'
  • yellowcard Matus Holicek 64'

Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
Rochdale 1 - 0 Swindon
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
Crewe 3 - 1 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Josh March

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Crewe Alexandra has a probability of 36.27% and a draw has a probability of 25.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win is 0-1 (8.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.63%).

Result

Swindon Town 37.78% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 25.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Crewe Alexandra 36.27% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.91% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 50.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.84% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 72.16% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 15.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 84.89% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 30.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 42.93% ▲ (+0.08)
Crewe Alexandra 26.62% ▼ (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 46.71%
No Goal 6.88% ▲ (+0.01)
Crewe Alexandra 46.41% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 68.88% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 10.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 20.83% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 9 57.34% ▲ (+0.10)
Equal 9 11.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 31.12% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 45.57% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 10.5 54.43% ▼ (-0.11)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 37.37% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 62.63% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 14.62% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 85.38% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.32% ▼ (-0.04)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 69.89% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 30.11% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 36.43% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 63.57% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 14.27% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 85.73% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 4.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.6% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 37.78%
Draw 25.98%
Crewe Alexandra 36.26%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.47%
Other @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 37.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.98%
Crewe Alexandra
0-1 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.43% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 36.26%

Head to Head

League Two
Feb 21, 2026 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
  • Ollie Palmer 52' yellowcard
  • Michael Olakigbe 53' yellowcard
  • Michael Olakigbe 64' goal
  • Joel McGregor 68' yellowcard
  • Junior Hoilett 79' yellowcard
  • Filozofe Mabete 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrien Thibaut 37'
  • goal Matus Holicek 45'+2'
  • goal Josh March 53'
  • yellowcard Omar Bogle 82'
League Two
Aug 30, 2025 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 26
Jan 11, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT County Ground
  • yellowcard Mickey Demetriou 64'
League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Mickey Demetriou 44' yellowcard
  • Joel Tabiner 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Cotterill 24'
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Elliott Nevitt 13' goal
  • Elliott Nevitt 13' goal
  • Conor Thomas 56' yellowcard
  • Courtney Baker-Richardson 71' goal
  • Aaron Rowe 72' yellowcard
  • Elliott Nevitt 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Kinsella 17'
  • yellowcard Liam Kinsella 17'
  • yellowcard Harrison Minturn 20'
  • yellowcard Harrison Minturn 20'
  • goal Charlie Austin 30'
  • goal Charlie Austin 30'
  • yellowcard Charlie Austin 34'
  • yellowcard Charlie Austin 34'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT County Ground
  • Udoka Godwin-Malife 21' goal
  • George McEachran 26' yellowcard
  • Jake Young 47' goal
  • Murphy Mahoney 82' yellowcard
  • Frazer Blake-Tracy 87' yellowcard
  • Tom Brewitt 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rio Adebisi 15'
  • yellowcard Jack Powell 15'
  • yellowcard Lee Bell 16'
  • yellowcard Zac Williams 20'
  • yellowcard Conor Thomas 23'
  • goal Zac Williams 60'
  • yellowcard Chris Long 67'
  • goal Rio Adebisi 85'
  • yellowcard Harvey Davies 90'+2'