League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2026 12.30pm
Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury Town vs Bristol Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 1 Exeter
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Kian McMahon-Brown

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Bristol Rovers 1 - 3 Barnet
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Fabrizio Cavegn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Bristol Rovers has a probability of 33.16% and a draw has a probability of 27.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win is 0-1 (8.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.52%).

Result

Shrewsbury Town 39.48% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 27.35% ▲ (+0.05)
Bristol Rovers 33.16% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.76% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 26.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 48.75% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 51.25% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 27.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.97% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Shrewsbury Town 25.28% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 49.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Bristol Rovers 25.45% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Shrewsbury Town 44.63% ▼ (-0.18)
No Goal 7.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Bristol Rovers 47.38% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 56.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 31.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 44.79%
Equal 9 12.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 43.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 33.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 66.37% ▲ (+0.02)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 1.5 38.57% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 61.43% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 16.12% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 83.88% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.3% ▲ (+0.04)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 67.24% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 32.76% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 33.66% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 66.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 12.33% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 87.67% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 96.07% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Shrewsbury Town 39.47%
Draw 27.36%
Bristol Rovers 33.17%
Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 9.77% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.41% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.46%
Other @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 39.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.99% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 27.36%
Bristol Rovers
0-1 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 33.17%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 17, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Luke Thomas 63' yellowcard
  • Yusuf Akhamrich 63' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 63' yellowcard
  • Joe Quigley 63' yellowcard
  • Tommy Leigh 79' goal
  • Kane Thompson-Sommers 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Trey Samuel-Ogunsuyi 58'
  • yellowcard Tommy McDermott 80'
  • yellowcard Will Gray 88'
  • yellowcard Mal Benning 89'
League Two Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Tommy McDermott 8' yellowcard
  • Mal Benning 72' yellowcard
  • C. Aneke 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Taylor Moore 46'
  • yellowcard Alfie Chang 51'
  • goal Fabrizio Cavegn 63'
  • goal Fabrizio Cavegn 88'
  • goal Fabrizio Cavegn 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ellis Harrison 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Callum Stewart 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Callum Stewart 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Alex Gilliead 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Harrison Biggins 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Harrison Biggins 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Martin 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Ruel Sotiriou 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Jamie Lindsay 46' yellowcard
  • Jamie Lindsay 52' goal
  • Clinton Mola 54' yellowcard
  • Taylor Moore 62' yellowcard
  • Promise Omochere 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Pierre 40'
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Sam Finley 7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Bayliss 15'
  • yellowcard Chey Dunkley 66'
  • yellowcard Tom Flanagan 89'
League One Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Carl Winchester 50' yellowcard
  • Chey Dunkley 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John Marquis 29'
  • yellowcard Antony Evans 42'
  • goal John Marquis 73'
  • yellowcard Jack Hunt 87'
  • goal Aaron Collins 90'+1'