League Two Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Tommy Leigh 32' goal
  • Clinton Mola 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jayce Fitzgerald 57'
  • yellowcard Josh Austerfield  74'
  • yellowcard Kieran Ngwenya 90'+5'

Bristol Rovers vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers 2 - 0 Colchester
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Fabrizio Cavegn

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Tranmere 2 - 2 Rotherham
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Jili Buyabu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Rotherham United has a probability of 26.43% and a draw has a probability of 25.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Rotherham United win is 0-1 (6.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.84%).

Result

Bristol Rovers 48.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Rotherham United 26.43% ▼ (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.64% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 23.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 52.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 47.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 30.53% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 69.47% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 17.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.38% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Bristol Rovers 31.87% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 43.46% ▲ (+0.11)
Rotherham United 24.68% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Bristol Rovers 51.78% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 6.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Rotherham United 41.57%

Corners

Over 8 56.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 31.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 9 45.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 43.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 34.9%
Under 10.5 65.1%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 47.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 52.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 22.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 91.38% ▼ (-0.03)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 62.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 37.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 29.25% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.75% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 10.23% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.1% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Bristol Rovers 48.34%
Draw 25.25%
Rotherham United 26.43%
Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 8.5%
Total : 48.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.25%
Rotherham United
0-1 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 26.43%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 34
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Ruel Sotiriou 5' goal
  • Chris Martin 48' yellowcard
  • Sil Swinkels 72' goal
  • Matt Butcher 85' yellowcard
  • Luke Thomas 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Nombe 36'
  • goal Zak Jules 52'
  • goal Sam Nombe 90'+2'
  • goal Sam Nombe 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Alex MacDonald 12' yellowcard
  • Jamie McCart 32' yellowcard
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruel Sotiriou 44'
  • yellowcard Taylor Moore 90'
League One Gameweek 28
Jan 18, 2020 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matt Crooks 33' yellowcard
  • Kyle Vassell 51' goal
  • Michael Smith 53' goal
  • Chiedozie Ogbene 88' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Rodman 91'
  • yellowcard Luke Leahy 94'
League One Gameweek 11
Sep 28, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 48' goal
League One
Apr 21, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael Smith 9' goal
  • Caolan Lavery 90' goal
  • yellowcard Ellis Harrison 77'
League One
Dec 2, 2017 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ollie Clarke 30' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 63' goal
  • Liam Sercombe 74' goal
  • Adam Smith 79' yellowcard
  • Ryan Sweeney 81' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Williams 56'
  • redcard Kieffer Moore 79'