League Two Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers 2 - 0 Colchester
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Fabrizio Cavegn

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Tranmere 2 - 2 Rotherham
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Jili Buyabu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Rotherham United has a probability of 26.51% and a draw has a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Rotherham United win is 0-1 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.85%).

Result

Bristol Rovers 48.31% (-0.22)
Draw 25.21% (+0.02)
Rotherham United 26.51% (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.66% (+0.44)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.71% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 23.29% (-0.68)
Over 2.5 52.98% (+0.86)
Under 2.5 47.02% (-0.86)
Over 3.5 30.58% (+0.59)
Under 3.5 69.42% (-0.60)
Over 4.5 17.64% (+0.50)
Under 4.5 82.36% (-0.49)

First Half Winner

Bristol Rovers 31.95% (+0.74)
Draw 43.35% (-1.18)
Rotherham United 24.7% (+0.45)

Team To Score First

Bristol Rovers 51.79% (-1.83)
No Goal 6.64% (-0.05)
Rotherham United 41.57% (+1.86)

Corners

Over 8 56.78% (-3.76)
Equal 8 11.21% (-0.50)
Under 8 32.01% (+4.26)
Over 9 45.45% (-2.86)
Equal 9 11.33% (-0.91)
Under 9 43.22% (+3.76)
Over 10.5 34.9% (-1.78)
Under 10.5 65.1% (+1.77)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 47.34% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 52.66% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 22.17% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 77.83% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 8.6% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 91.4% (-0.16)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 62.85% (+0.46)
Under 0.5 37.15% (-0.46)
Over 1.5 29.29% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 70.71% (-0.67)
Over 2.5 10.26% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 89.74% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 2.91% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 97.09% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Bristol Rovers 48.3%
Draw 25.21%
Rotherham United 26.51%
Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.34)
2-1 @ 9.74% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 5.04% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.36% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.5% (+0.14)
Total : 48.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.44% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.03)
Total : 25.21%
Rotherham United
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 6.65% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 3.95% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.45% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 2.06% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.66% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.81% (+0.17)
Total : 26.51%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 34
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Ruel Sotiriou 5' goal
  • Chris Martin 48' yellowcard
  • Sil Swinkels 72' goal
  • Matt Butcher 85' yellowcard
  • Luke Thomas 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Nombe 36'
  • goal Zak Jules 52'
  • goal Sam Nombe 90'+2'
  • goal Sam Nombe 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Alex MacDonald 12' yellowcard
  • Jamie McCart 32' yellowcard
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruel Sotiriou 44'
  • yellowcard Taylor Moore 90'
League One Gameweek 28
Jan 18, 2020 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matt Crooks 33' yellowcard
  • Kyle Vassell 51' goal
  • Michael Smith 53' goal
  • Chiedozie Ogbene 88' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Rodman 91'
  • yellowcard Luke Leahy 94'
League One Gameweek 11
Sep 28, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 48' goal
League One
Apr 21, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael Smith 9' goal
  • Caolan Lavery 90' goal
  • yellowcard Ellis Harrison 77'
League One
Dec 2, 2017 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ollie Clarke 30' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 63' goal
  • Liam Sercombe 74' goal
  • Adam Smith 79' yellowcard
  • Ryan Sweeney 81' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Williams 56'
  • redcard Kieffer Moore 79'