League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium

Swindon Town vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 12.30pm
Bristol Rovers 0 - 0 Swindon
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
Rotherham 3 - 3 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Paul Mullin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Rotherham United has a probability of 30.74% and a draw has a probability of 25.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Rotherham United win is 0-1 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.16%).

Result

Swindon Town 43.57%
Draw 25.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Rotherham United 30.74% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.54% ▼ (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.97% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 26.03% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 49.83% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 50.17% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 27.87% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 72.13% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 15.31% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 84.69% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 31.55% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 45.13% ▲ (+0.16)
Rotherham United 23.32% ▲ (+0.11)

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 51.07% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 7.15% ▲ (+0.09)
Rotherham United 41.78% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.85% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 8 10.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 26.4% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 9 51.44% ▼ (-0.24)
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 37.15% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 10.5 40.34% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 10.5 59.66% ▲ (+0.20)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 41.67% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 58.33% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 17.79% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 82.21% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 3.5 6.28% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 93.72% ▲ (+0.07)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 65.36% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 34.64% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 31.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 68.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 11.39% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.78% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 43.57%
Draw 25.69%
Rotherham United 30.74%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 10.56% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.11%
2-0 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 43.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.69%
Rotherham United
0-1 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 30.74%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
ET
League One
May 3, 2014 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Michael Smith 59' goal
  • goal Wes Thomas 1'
  • goal Wes Thomas 24'
League One
Oct 12, 2013 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Alex Pritchard 33'
  • goal Massimo Luongo 45'
  • goal Nicholas Ajose 66'
  • goal Dany N'Guessan 90'
League Two
Jan 14, 2012 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gareth Evans 45' yellowcard
  • Alex Revell 54' goal
  • yellowcard Raffaele De Vita 82'
League Two
Sep 3, 2011 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alan Connell 69' goal
  • Alan Connell 81' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Cresswell 11'
  • yellowcard Danny Schofield 19'
  • goal Alex Revell 21'
  • goal Alex Revell 65'
  • redcard Danny Schofield 68'
League One
Feb 18, 2006 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Jamie Cureton 20' goal
  • Sean O'Hanlon 25' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Williamson 17'
  • goal Martin Butler 22'
  • goal Shaun Barker 31'
  • goal Martin Butler 49'