League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
AESSEAL New York Stadium

Rotherham United vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Rotherham 1 - 4 Gillingham
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Paul Mullin

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Newport 1 - 0 Colchester
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Shaquille Gwengwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newport County win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Rotherham United has a probability of 36.79% and a draw has a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Rotherham United win is 1-0 (9.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.82%).

Result

Rotherham United 36.79% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 25.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Newport County 37.73% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.49% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.14% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 27.86% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 46.85%
Under 2.5 53.15%
Over 3.5 24.97% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 75.03% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 13.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.84% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Rotherham United 28.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 42.16% ▼ (-0.11)
Newport County 29.77% ▲ (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Rotherham United 46.34% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 8.21%
Newport County 45.45% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 53.83% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 8 12.08% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 8 34.08% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 9 41.91% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.93% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 9 46.17% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 31.13% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 68.87% ▼ (-0.08)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 1.5 34.25% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 65.75% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 13.09% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 86.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.99%
Under 3.5 96.01%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 68.16%
Under 0.5 31.84%
Over 1.5 35.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 64.46% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 13.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 86.22% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.5% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Rotherham United 36.78%
Draw 25.48%
Newport County 37.73%
Rotherham United
1-0 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.67% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.35%
3-0 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 36.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 8.21%
2-2 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.48%
Newport County
0-1 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.81%
1-3 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 37.73%