League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Rodney Parade

Newport County vs York City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Newport 1 - 0 Colchester
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Shaquille Gwengwe

York City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
York City 1 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Alex Newby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a York City win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 34.22% and a draw has a probability of 24.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (8.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.4%).

Result

Newport County 34.22% ▲ (+1.00)
Draw 24.95% ▼ (-0.08)
York City 40.84% ▼ (-0.94)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.99% ▼ (-1.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.81% ▼ (-1.02)
Under 1.5 25.19% ▲ (+1.02)
Over 2.5 50.91% ▼ (-1.41)
Under 2.5 49.09% ▲ (+1.41)
Over 3.5 28.65% ▼ (-1.28)
Under 3.5 71.35% ▲ (+1.27)
Over 4.5 16.51% ▼ (-0.78)
Under 4.5 83.49% ▲ (+0.79)

First Half Winner

Newport County 21.13% ▼ (-0.88)
Draw 39.68% ▲ (+2.33)
York City 39.2% ▼ (-1.45)

Team To Score First

Newport County 34.89% ▼ (-0.54)
No Goal 7.02% ▲ (+0.29)
York City 58.09% ▲ (+0.25)

Corners

Over 8 64.64% ▼ (-0.88)
Equal 8 10.75% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 8 24.62% ▲ (+0.84)
Over 9 53.09% ▼ (-0.80)
Equal 9 11.55% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 9 35.36% ▲ (+0.87)
Over 10.5 41.74% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 10.5 58.26% ▲ (+0.63)

Newport County Goals

Over 1.5 34.18% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 65.82% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 13.27% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 86.73% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 4.05% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.95% ▲ (+0.07)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 71.28% ▼ (-1.44)
Under 0.5 28.72% ▲ (+1.44)
Over 1.5 40.16% ▼ (-1.64)
Under 1.5 59.84% ▲ (+1.64)
Over 2.5 18.15% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 2.5 81.85% ▲ (+1.10)
Over 3.5 7.21% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 3.5 92.79% ▲ (+0.46)

Score analysis

Newport County 34.21%
Draw 24.96%
York City 40.84%
Newport County
1-0 @ 8.9% ▲ (+0.46)
2-1 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.46)
3-1 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.22)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 34.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.29)
2-2 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 24.96%
York City
0-1 @ 9.28% ▲ (+0.26)
1-2 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.30)
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.32)
0-3 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.38)
Total : 40.84%

Head to Head

League Two
Jan 16, 2016 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Aaron Collins 8'
  • yellowcard Connor Dymond 36'
  • yellowcard Daniel Holmes 38'
League Two
Sep 5, 2015 1.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Matt Partridge 25' yellowcard
  • Scott Barrow 62' yellowcard
  • Danny Holmes 69' yellowcard
  • Danny Holmes 77' redcard
  • Aaron Collins 78' yellowcard
  • goal James Berrett 38'
  • goal Reece Thompson 55'
  • goal Vadaine Oliver 59'
  • yellowcard Vadaine Oliver 63'
  • yellowcard James Berrett 91'
League Two
Apr 25, 2015 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • John McCombe 45' yellowcard
  • Bradley Halliday 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Minshull 15'
  • yellowcard Aaron O'Connor 35'
  • yellowcard Ryan Jackson 43'
  • goal David Tutonda 49'
  • yellowcard Yan Klukowski 60'
  • goal Lee Minshull 75'
League Two
Oct 11, 2014 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Scott Tancock 50' yellowcard
  • Andrew Hughes 51' goal
  • Chris Zebroski 65' goal
  • Darren Jones 72' goal
  • goal Diego de Girolamo 7'
  • yellowcard Russ Penn 44'
  • redcard Russ Penn 46'
  • yellowcard Lewis Montrose 61'
League Two
Apr 26, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lewis Montrose 30' yellowcard
  • Michael Coulson 77' goal
League Two
Oct 19, 2013 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chris Zebroski 23' goal
  • Lenny Pidgeley 31' yellowcard
  • Lee Minshull 47' goal
  • Adam Chapman 64' yellowcard
  • Danny Crow 89' goal
  • yellowcard Jamal Fyfield 19'
  • yellowcard David McGurk 36'