League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 26, 2026 3.00pm
Dwight Yorke Stadium

York City vs Gillingham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Chesterfield 2 - 0 York City
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Alex Newby

Gillingham

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Gillingham 3 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
James Brophy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a York City win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw has a probability of 21.9% and a win for Gillingham has a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.11%) , while for a Gillingham win it is 1-2 (5.67%).

Result

York City 56.56%
Draw 21.9%
Gillingham 21.57%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.25%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.48% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 20.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 57.47%
Under 2.5 42.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 35.24%
Under 3.5 64.76%
Over 4.5 21.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.09% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

York City 48.06%
Draw 34.5%
Gillingham 17.44%

Team To Score First

York City 65.75%
No Goal 5.28%
Gillingham 28.97%

Corners

Over 8 68.41%
Equal 8 10.36%
Under 8 21.23%
Over 9 56.85%
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 31.59%
Over 10.5 45.12%
Under 10.5 54.88%

York City Goals

Over 1.5 55.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 44.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 29.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 70.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 86.76% ▼ (-0.01)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5 57.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 42.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 26% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.24%
Under 3.5 97.76%

Score analysis

York City 56.57%
Draw 21.9%
Gillingham 21.57%
York City
2-1 @ 9.83%
1-0 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 8.87%
3-1 @ 5.95%
3-0 @ 5.56%
3-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 13.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 56.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 5.33%
0-0 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 21.9%
Gillingham
1-2 @ 5.67%
0-1 @ 5.6%
0-2 @ 3.02%
1-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 21.57%

Head to Head

League Two
Feb 12, 2013 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Joseph Martin 26'
  • yellowcard Matt Fish 53'
League Two
Jan 26, 2013 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Steven Gregory 58' yellowcard
  • Cody McDonald 85' goal
  • goal Charlie Lee 17' (OG)