FA Cup
Nov 7, 2026 3.00pm
Stadium mk

MK Dons vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

Swindon Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw has a probability of 19.79% and a win for Swindon Town has a probability of 19.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.49%) and 1-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.32%) , while for a Swindon Town win it is 1-2 (5.19%).

Result

MK Dons 61.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 19.79%
Swindon Town 19.03% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.79% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 16.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 63.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 36.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 40.27%
Under 3.5 59.73% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 27.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 72.67% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

MK Dons 44.66% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 36.99% ▼ (-0.05)
Swindon Town 18.35% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

MK Dons 63.59% ▲ (+0.06)
No Goal 4.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Swindon Town 32.39% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 67.53% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 8 9.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 22.79% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 56.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 10.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 32.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 10.5 46.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 53.84% ▼ (-0.02)

MK Dons Goals

Over 1.5 61.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 38.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 36.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 63.78% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 18.05% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 81.95% ▼ (-0.05)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 54.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 45.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 25.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 74.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 91.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.76%
Under 3.5 97.24%

Score analysis

MK Dons 61.18%
Draw 19.8%
Swindon Town 19.04%
MK Dons
2-1 @ 9.58% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.36%
3-0 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 17.82% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 61.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.32%
2-2 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.8%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 3.99% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.96%
1-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 19.04%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
  • Ollie Clarke 56' goal
  • Fletcher Holman 63' yellowcard
  • Billy Bodin 63' yellowcard
  • Ollie Palmer 68' yellowcard
  • Filozofe Mabete 78' yellowcard
  • Filozofe Mabete 79' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Gilbey 36'
  • yellowcard Scott Hogan 60'
  • yellowcard Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 71'
  • yellowcard Curtis Nelson 71'
  • goal Marvin Ekpiteta 79'
  • yellowcard Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 88'
League Two
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Aaron Nemane 17' goal
  • Will Collar 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finley Munroe 21'
  • yellowcard Darren Oldaker 53'
EFL Trophy
Nov 11, 2025 7.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT County Ground
  • Harry Smith 24' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Sanders 16'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 68'
League Two Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Kane Thompson-Sommers 45'+4' goal
  • MJ Williams 57' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 64' goal
  • Callum Hendry 86' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Smith 1'
  • yellowcard Harry Smith 62'
  • yellowcard Ian Holloway 63'
League Two Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT County Ground
  • Saidou Khan 45' yellowcard
  • Harry McKirdy 75' yellowcard
  • Charlie Austin 89' goal
  • goal Stephen Wearne 4'
  • goal Stephen Wearne 8'
  • yellowcard Lewis Bate 29'