League One Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2026 7.45pm
Bloomfield Road

Blackpool vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Cambridge 1 - 0 Blackpool
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Tom Bloxham

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
MK Dons 1 - 5 Reading
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Blackpool has a probability of 36.02% and a draw has a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Blackpool win is 1-0 (9.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.92%).

Result

Blackpool 36.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 27% ▼ (-0.04)
MK Dons 36.94% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.75% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 26.59% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 48.09% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 51.91% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 26.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 73.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.06% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Blackpool 29.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 40.18% ▲ (+0.01)
MK Dons 30.16% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Blackpool 46.96%
No Goal 7.67% ▼ (-0.05)
MK Dons 45.37% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 67.16% ▼ (-0.36)
Equal 8 10.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 22.14% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 9 55.33% ▼ (-0.33)
Equal 9 11.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 32.84% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 10.5 43.45% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 10.5 56.55% ▲ (+0.27)

Blackpool Goals

Over 1.5 35.14% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 64.86% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 13.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 86.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 4.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.79% ▼ (-0.01)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 70.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 63.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 86.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.72% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Blackpool 36.01%
Draw 27%
MK Dons 36.95%
Blackpool
1-0 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 36.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 27%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.59%
0-3 @ 2.63%
2-3 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 36.95%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 35
Mar 9, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Warren O'Hora 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Jerry Yates 33'
League One Gameweek 8
Oct 24, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bloomfield Road
  • Sullay Kaikai 47' yellowcard
  • Sullay Kaikai 66' goal
  • Marvin Ekpiteta 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Kasumu 15'
  • yellowcard Richard Keogh 90'+5'
League One Gameweek 45
Apr 25, 2020 3.00pm
Stadium mk
League One Gameweek 8
Sep 14, 2019 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Russell Martin 5'
  • goal Jordan Houghton 62'
  • goal David Kasumu 75'
  • yellowcard Sam Nombe 78'
League One
Mar 24, 2018 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Peter Pawlett 60' yellowcard
  • Chuks Aneke 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Curtis Tilt 84'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Ryan 90'
League One
Aug 12, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sean Longstaff 6' goal