/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwiglog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmkdlog.png)
-
Finley Burns
8'
-
Jensen Weir
36'
-
Max Power
48'
-
Dara Costelloe
72'
-
Jensen Weir
74'
-
Jack Sanders
18'
-
Alex Gilbey
62'
-
Aaron Collins
81'
Wigan Athletic vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F08%2Fmark-fletcher-kevin-hodgson-mi-news-and-sport-alamy-wigan-athletic-manager-gary-caldwell-at-half-time-on-august-15-2026-6a877b37cafc7401827999.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (9.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result
Wigan Athletic
30.67%
▲
(+0.10)
Draw
27.97%
▼
(-0.02)
MK Dons
41.39%
▼
(-0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
48.61%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
69.76%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
30.24%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
44.04%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 2.5
55.96%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 3.5
23.57%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
76.43%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 4.5
12.32%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
87.68%
▼
(-0.06)
First Half Winner
Wigan Athletic
24.9%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
44.94%
▲
(+0.01)
MK Dons
30.17%
▲
(+0.02)
Team To Score First
Wigan Athletic
44.24%
▼
(-0.02)
No Goal
9.27%
▼
(-0.05)
MK Dons
46.49%
▲
(+0.07)
Corners
Over 8
56.32%
▼
(-0.26)
Equal 8
11.82%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 8
31.86%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 9
44.4%
▼
(-0.24)
Equal 9
11.91%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 9
43.68%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 10.5
33.41%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 10.5
66.59%
▲
(+0.18)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 1.5
29.05%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
70.95%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 2.5
10.08%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
89.92%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
2.8%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
97.2%
▼
(-0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5
71.49%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
28.51%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
37.45%
Under 1.5
62.55%
Over 2.5
14.82%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
85.18%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
5.11%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
94.89%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Wigan Athletic
30.66%
Draw
27.97%
MK Dons
41.39%
Wigan Athletic
1-0
@
9.38%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 30.66%
2-1 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 30.66%
Draw
1-1
@
12.83%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.27% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.97%
0-0 @ 9.27% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 27.97%
MK Dons
0-1
@
11.61%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 4.97%
Total : 41.39%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 4.97%
Total : 41.39%
