League One Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 0
FT Adams Park
  • Dan Casey 11' goal
  • Ewan Henderson 31' goal
  • Jayden Wareham 74' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 36'
  • yellowcard Aaron Collins 41'
  • goal Aaron Collins 51'
  • goal Callum Paterson 55'
  • goal Curtis Nelson 59'
  • yellowcard Marvin Ekpiteta 84'

Wycombe Wanderers vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wycombe Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Wycombe 1 - 2 Sheff Weds
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
Wigan 3 - 1 MK Dons
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
A. Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result

Wycombe Wanderers 40.46%
Draw 25.94% ▲ (+0.06)
MK Dons 33.6% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.89% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 22.03% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 54.68% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 45.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 31.91% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 68.09% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 18.12% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 81.88% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Wycombe Wanderers 29.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 41.65% ▲ (+0.02)
MK Dons 28.57%

Team To Score First

Wycombe Wanderers 48.67% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.28% ▲ (+0.03)
MK Dons 45.05% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.5% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.14%
Under 8 25.36% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 9 51.59% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 36.5% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 39.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 60.01% ▼ (-0.06)

Wycombe Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 42.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.52% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.4% ▲ (+0.02)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 69.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 30.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 36.71% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 63.29% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 14.78% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 85.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.82% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.18% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Wycombe Wanderers 40.45%
Draw 25.94%
MK Dons 33.6%
Wycombe Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.4%
3-1 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 40.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.28% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.06%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 25.94%
MK Dons
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-1 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5%
1-3 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.46%
Other @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 33.6%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Ashley Hunter 16' yellowcard
  • Warren O'Hora 31' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Tafazolli 38'
  • goal Brandon Hanlan 73'
  • goal Chris Forino-Joseph 82'
League One Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Adams Park
  • David Wheeler 22' goal
  • David Wheeler 55' goal
  • goal Daniel Harvie 9'
  • goal Jonathan Leko 70'
League One Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk
  • goal Nick Freeman 40'
League One
May 8, 2022 6.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Troy Parrott 26' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Scowen 30'
  • yellowcard Jason McCarthy 83'
  • yellowcard Joe Jacobson 89'
League One
May 5, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Adams Park
  • Dominic Gape 31' yellowcard
  • Ryan Tafazolli 38' goal
  • Joe Jacobson 60' yellowcard
  • Daryl Horgan 64' yellowcard
  • Sam Vokes 82' goal
  • yellowcard Josh McEachran 64'
  • redcard Josh McEachran 69'
League One Gameweek 30
Jan 29, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joe Jacobson 42' yellowcard
  • Anthony Stewart 72' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Twine 13'
  • yellowcard Scott Twine 42'
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Harry Darling 64'
  • yellowcard Troy Parrott 67'
  • yellowcard Hiram Boateng 83'
  • yellowcard Conor Coventry 90'+6'