League One Gameweek 10
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Stadium mk

MK Dons vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
Barnsley 0 - 0 MK Dons
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
Reading 1 - 1 Bradford
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Jack Marriott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.72%. A draw has a probability of 29.28% and a win for Reading has a probability of 25.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.79%) , while for a Reading win it is 0-1 (8.67%).

Result

MK Dons 44.72% ▲ (+3.79)
Draw 29.28% ▼ (-0.75)
Reading 25.96% ▼ (-3.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.41% ▲ (+1.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.4% ▲ (+1.74)
Under 1.5 32.6% ▼ (-1.73)
Over 2.5 42.29% ▲ (+1.90)
Under 2.5 57.71% ▼ (-1.90)
Over 3.5 22.86% ▲ (+2.31)
Under 3.5 77.15% ▼ (-2.30)
Over 4.5 12.41% ▲ (+1.67)
Under 4.5 87.59% ▼ (-1.68)

First Half Winner

MK Dons 34.67% ▲ (+5.91)
Draw 42.77% ▼ (-1.64)
Reading 22.56% ▼ (-4.27)

Team To Score First

MK Dons 51.09% ▲ (+5.48)
No Goal 10.73% ▼ (-0.85)
Reading 38.18% ▼ (-4.62)

Corners

Over 8 65.31% ▲ (+3.14)
Equal 8 9.81% ▼ (-1.43)
Under 8 24.88% ▼ (-1.72)
Over 9 54.72% ▲ (+4.43)
Equal 9 10.59% ▼ (-1.28)
Under 9 34.69% ▼ (-3.14)
Over 10.5 44.15% ▲ (+5.30)
Under 10.5 55.85% ▼ (-5.30)

MK Dons Goals

Over 1.5 38.87% ▲ (+3.98)
Under 1.5 61.13% ▼ (-3.98)
Over 2.5 15.88% ▲ (+2.81)
Under 2.5 84.12% ▼ (-2.80)
Over 3.5 5.45% ▲ (+1.46)
Under 3.5 94.55% ▼ (-1.46)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 58.71% ▼ (-1.90)
Under 0.5 41.29% ▲ (+1.90)
Over 1.5 25.23% ▼ (-1.24)
Under 1.5 74.77% ▲ (+1.23)
Over 2.5 8.6% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 2.5 91.4% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 3.5 2.53% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 97.47% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

MK Dons 44.72%
Draw 29.29%
Reading 25.96%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 13.17% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.30)
2-0 @ 8.3% ▲ (+0.57)
3-0 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.53)
3-1 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.42)
3-2 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.34)
Other @ 5.26% ▲ (+1.49)
Total : 44.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.79% ▼ (-0.33)
0-0 @ 10.73% ▼ (-0.85)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.42)
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 29.29%
Reading
0-1 @ 8.67% ▼ (-1.05)
1-2 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.75)
0-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.42)
1-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.19)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.48)
Other @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.12)
Total : 25.96%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Oct 7, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
FA Cup
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Kelvin Ehibhaimha 3' goal
  • Ben Elliott 28' yellowcard
  • Sam Hutchinson 49' yellowcard
  • Harvey Knibbs 64' goal
  • Lewis Wing 68' goal
  • Harvey Knibbs 77' yellowcard
  • 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Gilbey 39'
  • goal Max Dean 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Max Dean 90'+4'
EFL Cup
Aug 23, 2016 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Anssi Jaakkola 34' yellowcard
  • Callum Harriott 68' goal
  • Liam Moore 81' yellowcard
  • Stephen Quinn 81' yellowcard
  • Callum Harriott 114' goal
  • Danny Williams 118' yellowcard
  • goal Dean Bowditch 34'
  • yellowcard Dean Bowditch 60'
  • yellowcard Ed Upson 103'
  • goal Kabongo Tshimanga 118'
Championship
Jan 16, 2016 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Samir Carruthers 63' yellowcard
  • Kyle McFadzean 67' yellowcard
  • Joe Walsh 78' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Gunter 25'
  • yellowcard Hal Robson-Kanu 37'
  • yellowcard Danny Williams 84'
Championship
Aug 22, 2015 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aaron Tshibola 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Poyet 64'
  • yellowcard Kyle McFadzean 68'
  • yellowcard Carl Baker 93'