League One Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Jack Marriott 49' goal
  • Jack Marriott 72' goal
  • Kyreece Lisbie 90'+1' yellowcard
  • 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Paddy Lane 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hindolo Mustapha 24'

Reading vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Cambridge 2 - 1 Reading
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Jack Marriott

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 12.30pm
Notts County 0 - 1 Bradford
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Oliver Cooper

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Reading 42.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 27.26%
Notts County 30.51% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.11% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.91% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 28.09% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 46.66%
Under 2.5 53.34%
Over 3.5 25.23%
Under 3.5 74.77%
Over 4.5 13.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.51% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Reading 29.88%
Draw 43.2%
Notts County 26.92%

Team To Score First

Reading 48.2%
No Goal 8.34% ▼ (-0.03)
Notts County 43.46% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.21% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 8 11.69%
Under 8 26.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 9 49.8% ▼ (-0.06)
Equal 9 12.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 37.79% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 10.5 37.84% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 10.5 62.16% ▲ (+0.05)

Reading Goals

Over 1.5 39.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 60.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 16.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 83.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 5.29%
Under 3.5 94.71%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 64.3% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 35.7% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 30.21% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 69.79% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 89.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.85% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Reading 42.23%
Draw 27.26%
Notts County 30.52%
Reading
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 5.18%
Total : 42.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.77% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 27.26%
Notts County
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 7.34% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 30.52%