League One Gameweek 14
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Stadium mk

MK Dons vs Doncaster Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Oct 27, 2026 7.45pm
MK Dons 4 - 1 Bromley
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Aaron Collins

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 27, 2026 7.45pm
Luton 3 - 1 Doncaster
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Jack Senior

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.24%. A win for Doncaster Rovers has a probability of 24.53% and a draw has a probability of 23.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win is 0-1 (6.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.97%).

Result

MK Dons 52.24% ▲ (+7.36)
Draw 23.23% ▼ (-1.54)
Doncaster Rovers 24.53% ▼ (-5.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.94% ▲ (+1.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.16% ▲ (+2.27)
Under 1.5 21.84% ▼ (-2.27)
Over 2.5 55.37% ▲ (+3.25)
Under 2.5 44.63% ▼ (-3.25)
Over 3.5 33.18% ▲ (+3.51)
Under 3.5 66.79% ▼ (-3.54)
Over 4.5 19.56% ▲ (+2.75)
Under 4.5 80.44% ▼ (-2.75)

First Half Winner

MK Dons 36.11% ▲ (+4.16)
Draw 40.57% ▼ (-1.37)
Doncaster Rovers 23.32% ▼ (-2.79)

Team To Score First

MK Dons 56.47% ▲ (+4.69)
No Goal 5.53% ▼ (-1.05)
Doncaster Rovers 38% ▼ (-3.65)

Corners

Over 8 69.28% ▲ (+3.54)
Equal 8 9.67% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 8 21.05% ▼ (-3.10)
Over 9 58.48% ▲ (+3.69)
Equal 9 10.8% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 9 30.72% ▼ (-3.54)
Over 10.5 47.41% ▲ (+3.55)
Under 10.5 52.59% ▼ (-3.55)

MK Dons Goals

Over 1.5 51% ▲ (+7.36)
Under 1.5 49% ▼ (-7.36)
Over 2.5 25.31% ▲ (+5.79)
Under 2.5 74.69% ▼ (-5.80)
Over 3.5 10.08% ▲ (+3.00)
Under 3.5 89.92% ▼ (-3.00)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 61.13% ▼ (-3.72)
Under 0.5 38.87% ▲ (+3.72)
Over 1.5 28.47% ▼ (-3.74)
Under 1.5 71.53% ▲ (+3.74)
Over 2.5 9.84% ▼ (-2.22)
Under 2.5 90.16% ▲ (+2.21)
Over 3.5 2.79% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 3.5 97.21% ▲ (+0.83)

Score analysis

MK Dons 52.25%
Draw 23.22%
Doncaster Rovers 24.53%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 10.04% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% ▲ (+0.81)
2-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.82)
3-1 @ 5.6% ▲ (+1.11)
3-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.95)
3-2 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.70)
Other @ 10.03% ▲ (+3.01)
Total : 52.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.97% ▼ (-0.67)
0-0 @ 5.53% ▼ (-1.05)
2-2 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 23.22%
Doncaster Rovers
0-1 @ 6.27% ▼ (-1.24)
1-2 @ 6.15% ▼ (-1.19)
0-2 @ 3.5% ▼ (-1.14)
1-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.47)
2-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.18)
0-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.80)
Other @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.82)
Total : 24.53%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Keepmoat Stadium
  • Joe Ironside 31' goal
  • Rob Street 73' goal
  • goal Scott Hogan 58'
  • yellowcard Jack Sanders 70'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 76'
  • yellowcard Joe Tomlinson 84'
League Two Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Ellis Harrison 34' goal
  • Aaron Nemane 36' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 52' redcard
  • Alex Gilbey 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Clifton 3'
  • redcard Harry Clifton 10'
  • yellowcard Ephraim Yeboah 66'
  • goal Tom Anderson 82'
League Two Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT The Keepmoat Stadium
  • Luke Molyneux 8' goal
  • Joe Ironside 14' goal
  • Luke Molyneux 22' yellowcard
  • Jack Senior 32' yellowcard
  • Tommy Rowe 42' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Eisa 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Max Dean 74'
  • yellowcard Dean Lewington 76'
  • yellowcard Ethan Robson 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Daniel Harvie 16' goal
  • Tommy Smith 25' yellowcard
  • Warren O'Hora 33' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Senior 41'
  • goal Luke Molyneux 56'
League One Gameweek 29
Jan 22, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Josh McEachran 73' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Dodoo 41'
  • yellowcard Joseph Olowu 58'
  • yellowcard Branden Horton 81'
  • yellowcard Aidan Barlow 90'+3'