League One Gameweek 9
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton Town vs Doncaster Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Luton 0 - 1 Bradford
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Nahki Wells

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Peterborough 0 - 2 Doncaster
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Jack Senior

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.25% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%) , while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result

Luton Town 51.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 25.25% ▲ (+0.02)
Doncaster Rovers 23.56% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.85% ▼ (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 24.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 51.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.25% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Luton Town 37.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 40.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Doncaster Rovers 21.95% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Luton Town 57.56% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 6.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Doncaster Rovers 35.51% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 67.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 9.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 22.68%
Over 9 56.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 10.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 32.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 45.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 54.23% ▼ (-0.03)

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 48.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 22.7% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 77.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 59.72% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 40.28% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 26.32% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 73.68% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 8.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.35%
Under 3.5 97.65%

Score analysis

Luton Town 51.19%
Draw 25.25%
Doncaster Rovers 23.56%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.14% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 8.76%
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-0 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 8.59%
Total : 51.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.25%
Doncaster Rovers
0-1 @ 6.73%
1-2 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 23.56%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Keepmoat Stadium
  • B. Hanlan 60' goal
  • Ben Close 66' yellowcard
  • Harry Clifton 66' yellowcard
  • goal Kasey Palmer 27'
  • yellowcard J. Richards 66'
  • yellowcard George Alan Saville 73'
  • yellowcard Cohen Bramall 73'
  • yellowcard Devante Cole 73'
League One
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 39
Mar 23, 2019 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium (Luton, Bedfordshire)
  • Pelly Ruddock 33' goal
  • Danny Hylton 57' goal
  • Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu 68' yellowcard
  • Kazenga LuaLua 82' goal
  • Luke Berry 92' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Lewis 11'
  • yellowcard Matty Blair 45'
  • yellowcard James Coppinger 78'
League One Gameweek 7
Sep 8, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Keepmoat Stadium (Doncaster, South Yorkshire)
  • Matty Blair 6' goal
  • Ben Whiteman 46' goal
  • Joe Wright 55' yellowcard
  • Matty Blair 61' yellowcard
  • Marko Marosi 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Collins 35'
  • goal Elliot Lee 45'
League Two
Feb 18, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andy Butler 15' yellowcard
  • Alfie May 80' goal
  • goal Jordan Cook 54'
  • yellowcard Glen Rea 66'
League Two
Sep 24, 2016 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Danny Hylton 34' yellowcard
  • Cameron McGeehan 36' goal
  • Jack Marriott 41' goal
  • Cameron McGeehan 81' goal
  • Dan Potts 93' yellowcard
  • Danny Hylton 95' redcard
  • goal James Coppinger 21'
  • yellowcard Cedric Evina 61'
  • yellowcard Joe Wright 80'