EFL Trophy Gameweek 2
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
JobServe Community Stadium

Colchester United vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 22, 2026 7.00pm
Peterborough 3 - 1 Colchester

Luton Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 22, 2026 7.00pm
Luton 6 - 0 Ipswich Town U21

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Colchester United has a probability of 33.18% and a draw has a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Colchester United win is 2-1 (8.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.9%).

Result

Colchester United 33.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 23.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Luton Town 43.29% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.37%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.52%
Under 1.5 20.48%
Over 2.5 58.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 41.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 34.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 65.92% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 20.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 79.66% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Colchester United 30.06%
Draw 39.4%
Luton Town 30.54%

Team To Score First

Colchester United 46.38% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 5.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Luton Town 48.34% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 56.39% ▲ (+0.10)
Equal 8 11.44%
Under 8 32.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 44.86% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.52%
Under 9 43.61% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 10.5 34.19% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 65.82% ▼ (-0.08)

Colchester United Goals

Over 1.5 36.57% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 63.43% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 16.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 83.93% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.53% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.47% ▲ (+0.04)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 44.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 55.47% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 21.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 78.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 8.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.36% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Colchester United 33.18%
Draw 23.53%
Luton Town 43.29%
Colchester United
2-1 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.69%
2-0 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4%
Other @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 33.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.9% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 23.53%
Luton Town
1-2 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73%
Other @ 8.27%
Total : 43.29%

Head to Head

League Two
Mar 30, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Tom Eastman 15' goal
  • Luke Prosser 27' goal
  • Ryan Jackson 53' yellowcard
  • Sam Walker 60' yellowcard
  • Mikael Mandron 60' yellowcard
  • Drey Wright 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Potts 40'
  • yellowcard Alan Sheehan 53'
  • goal Danny Hylton 88'
  • yellowcard Scott Cuthbert 90'
League Two
Aug 19, 2017 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alan McCormack 35' yellowcard
  • Dan Potts 40' yellowcard
  • Olly Lee 45' goal
  • James Collins 52' goal
  • Dan Potts 83' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Kinsella 61'
  • yellowcard Frankie Kent 73'
League Two
Mar 25, 2017 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Chris Porter 4' goal
  • Chris Porter 31' goal
  • Tom Lapslie 69' yellowcard
  • goal Isaac Vassell 93'
League Two
Dec 26, 2016 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danny Hylton 23' yellowcard
  • James Justin 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Elokobi 23'
  • yellowcard Tom Eastman 60'
  • yellowcard Owen Garvan 69'
  • goal Craig Slater 83'
Championship
Dec 26, 2006 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kevin McLeod 23' goal
  • Chris Iwelumo 41' goal
  • Richard Garcia 59' goal
  • Chris Iwelumo 65' goal
  • yellowcard Markus Heikkinen 43'
  • yellowcard Rowan Vine 82'
  • goal Rowan Vine 85'
Championship
Sep 12, 2006 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Sol Davis 28' yellowcard
  • Sam Parkin 32' goal
  • yellowcard Richard Garcia 39'
  • goal Jamie Cureton 40'
  • yellowcard Chris Barker 61'