League One Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton Town vs Leyton Orient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2026 7.45pm
Luton 2 - 0 Stockport
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Nahki Wells

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2026 7.45pm
Bromley 0 - 5 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Yusuf Akhamrich

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw has a probability of 25.1% and a win for Leyton Orient has a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.72%) , while for a Leyton Orient win it is 0-1 (7.37%).

Result

Luton Town 53.01% (+0.06)
Draw 25.1% (-0.04)
Leyton Orient 21.89% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.33% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.64% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 29.36% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 45.46% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 54.54% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 23.8% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 76.16% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 13.15% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 86.85% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Luton Town 38% (-0.10)
Draw 41.09% (+0.06)
Leyton Orient 20.91% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Luton Town 54.79% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.65% (-0.11)
Leyton Orient 36.56% (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 58.54% (-0.25)
Equal 8 11.74% (+0.02)
Under 8 29.72% (+0.24)
Over 9 46.49% (-0.25)
Equal 9 12.05%
Under 9 41.46% (+0.25)
Over 10.5 35.19% (-0.24)
Under 10.5 64.81% (+0.24)

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 45.65% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 54.35% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 20.4% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 79.6% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 7.3% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.7% (-0.04)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5 55.73% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 44.27% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 21.82% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 78.18% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 5.94% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 94.06% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 1.49% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.51% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Luton Town 53.01%
Draw 25.1%
Leyton Orient 21.9%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 13.35% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.93% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.89% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.1% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.89% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.56% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.29% (+0.05)
Total : 53.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 8.65% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.17% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.1%
Leyton Orient
0-1 @ 7.37% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 5.59% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.04% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.48% (+0.03)
Total : 21.9%

Head to Head

League One
Dec 29, 2025 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Gideon Kadua 8' goal
  • Jordan Clark 19' goal
  • Shayden Morris 37' goal
  • Teden Mengi 52' yellowcard
  • Zack Nelson 90'+1' yellowcard
League One
Dec 9, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Theo Archibald 50' goal
  • Dan Happe 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Walsh 41'
  • yellowcard Liam Walsh 42'
  • yellowcard Jack Wilshere 62'
  • yellowcard Mads Andersen 86'
  • goal Gideon Kadua 90'+6'
League Two
Apr 14, 2017 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Danny Hylton 33' goal
  • Luke Gambin 44' yellowcard
  • Glen Rea 54' yellowcard
  • Isaac Vassell 73' goal
  • Scott Cuthbert 81' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Kelly 54'
  • goal Tristan Abrahams 61'
  • yellowcard Henry Ochieng 67'
  • yellowcard Sam Sargeant 73'
League Two
Oct 15, 2016 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ollie Palmer 79' goal
  • Sandro Semedo 81' yellowcard
  • goal Cameron McGeehan 30'
  • goal Danny Hylton 74'
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 81'
League Two
Mar 5, 2016 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Jack Marriott 27'
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 30'
  • yellowcard Craig Mackail-Smith 89'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Mitchell 92'
League Two
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jack Marriott 33' goal
  • Luke Wilkinson 39' yellowcard
  • goal Jay Simpson 47'